Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Easy

PT148 S4 Q15 ExplanationGlobal warming has contributed to a rise

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsMost Supported

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Stimulus

Global warming has contributed to a rise in global sea level not only because it causes glaciers and ice sheets to melt, but also simply because when water is heated its volume increases. But this rise in global sea level is less than it otherwise would be, since over the years artificial a great deal of water that would otherwise reach the sea.

What this question is testing

Most Supported

Your task

Break the argument into its conclusion and evidence, then do exactly what the question stem asks with that structure.

Common trap

Answers that sound relevant to the topic but don't connect to the argument's actual reasoning.

Winning move

Predict what a right answer must do, then test each choice against the conclusion-evidence gap.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
15.

Which one of the following can most reasonably be concluded on the basis of

Answer choices, explained

  1. Out of Scope: in dispute7% picked this

    The exact magnitude of the rise in global sea level is

    Nothing in this paragraph deals with people disputing the exact amount by which the sea level has risen.

  2. Out of Scope: difficult to explain1% picked this

    Rises in global sea level that occurred before the world's reservoirs were built are

    We have no support for claiming that previous rises in global sea level were hard to explain.

  3. Too Strong: little is known1% picked this

    Little is known about the contribution of global warming to the rise in

    It seems like the first sentence nearly contradicts this answer. We clearly know two things when it comes to how global warming contributes to the rise in global sea level. We have zero support for the claim that "little is known" and seemingly have contra-support.

  4. Too Strong: equal9% picked this

    The amount of water in the world's reservoirs is about equal to the amount of water that results from the melting

    There's no way to derive from this paragraph that the amount of water that results from the melting of glaciers and ice sheets is identical to the amount of water in those reservoirs.

  5. Correct82% picked this

    The amount of water that results from the melting of glaciers and ice sheets cannot be determined by looking at the rise

    Why this is right

    It's very weak, lovable wording to hear "X cannot be determined by looking at Y alone". It is extreme to say "X can be determined by looking at Y alone", so it is weak to rule it out. If we see that global sea level has risen 2 inches, would that tell us that glaciers and ice sheets have melted the amount of water it takes to raise the sea level by 2 inches? No, because we know that these artificial reservoirs we've built are hiding some of the real increase. The rise in global sea level would be more than 2 inches if it weren't for these reservoirs. The melting of glaciers and ice sheets may have been enough to raise sea level 3 inches, but because we captured so much water in these reservoirs, it only went up 2 inches. Let's say we started a lemonade stand and started a bank account for all the revenue we make from that lemonade stand. You look at the bank account and see there's $1000 in there. Can you determine by looking at that number alone how much revenue we've made from the lemonade stand? No, not if told you, "That bank account balance is lower than it would otherwise be, since we loaned some money to our friend from that account so that he could start his own cupcake stand." Since this loan makes the bank account smaller than it otherwise would be, we can't determine how much revenue the lemonade stand brought in simply by looking at the bank account balance. Similarly, since these reservoirs make the sea level rise less than it otherwise would, we can't just look at the rising sea level and use that on its own to calculate how much new water there is from the melting of glaciers and ice sheets.

    Skill tested: Most Supported · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

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