Archaeologist: For 2,000 years the ancient Sumerians depended on irrigation to sustain the agriculture that fed their civilization.
Conclusion (thus)
Modern civilizations that continue to rely heavily on irrigation for agriculture are likely to eventually collapse.
Evidence
The ancient Sumerians relied heavily on irrigation for agriculture and they eventually collapsed, once the irrigation had built up so many toxic salts in the soil that the soil was unable to support crops.
Evaluate
This argument relies on a Comparison, assuming that what happened with the Sumerian civilization is likely to happen to similar civilizations (those who use irrigation a lot).
When we're analyzing Comparisons, the author is usually assuming other similarities or assuming some crucial difference.
In this case, the author is Assuming Similarities between ancient Sumeria and these modern irrigating cultures.
She's assuming that the modern cultures will be doing irrigation long enough and intensively enough that they will eventually run into the same problem with toxic salts. (She's also assuming the local soil is similar enough that long-term irrigation could have similar toxic buildup effects).
And she's assuming that if/when that day of toxic buildup arrives, these modern civilizations don't have a Plan B to save their agriculture / save their civilization.
Goal
We're probably looking for an answer to provide a Meaningful Difference between these modern civilizations and that of the ancient Sumerians, a difference that would allow us to say that even though they are reliant on irrigation too, we shouldn't consider it likely that this irrigation will one day doom their civilization.