Logical Reasoning

PT133 · S3 · Q20 To date, most of the proposals

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To date, most of the proposals that have been endorsed by the Citizens League have been passed by the city council.

Conclusion

Any future proposal endorsed by CL will probably be passed.

Evidence

So far, most proposals endorsed by CL have been passed.

Evaluation

This is essentially arguing, .

Goal

Look for an argument that says .

20.

The pattern of reasoning in which one of the following arguments is most similar to that in the argument above?

  1. Most of the Vasani grants

    Bad Conclusion Match

    The conclusion needed to say, "Thus any future Vasani grant will probably go to academic biologists." This conclusion made it weird and said "if it's an academic, then a biologist".

    11% picked this

  2. Most of the individual trees

    Bad Conclusion Match

    It doesn't seem like Past vs. Future, as much as There vs. Here. Also, the conclusion of the original was "Any future proposal", whereas this conclusion is just saying "most tree species".

    3% picked this

  3. Most of the editors who

    Weak Conclusion Match

    The conclusion should have said "Thus, any future editor for this local newspaper will probably not be sympathetic to local farmers". Instead, they made some weird contrapositive version of that prediction: "If sympathetic, then not editor".

    3% picked this

  4. Most of the entries that

    Bad Conclusion Match

    The Past = Future conclusion should have read "Thus, any future entry that is received after the contest deadline will probably be rejected by the judges' committee".

    2% picked this

  5. Correct

    Most of the stone artifacts

    Why this is right

    Not perfect, but this resembles the Past = Future move of the original argument the best. Most X's are Y = Most stone artifacts have been domestic tools. Any future X will probably be Y = If the next artifact we find is stone, it will probably be a domestic tool. The conclusion sounds a little different from the original, but essentially means the same thing. The original conclusion, in choice (E)'s form, is Thus, if the next proposal is endorsed by the CL, then it will probably be passed

    Skill tested: Parallel · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    81% picked this

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