Logical Reasoning

PT128 · S2 · Q13 Scientist: There is little doubt

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Scientist: There is little doubt that the ice ages were caused by the unusually rich growth of vegetation worldwide.

Conclusion

The ice ages were caused by the usually rich growth of vegetation worldwide.

Evidence

Vegetation converts CO2 into O2, so a rich growth of vegetation would deplete the CO2 in the atmosphere. CO2 helps to retain the sun's heat, so if the CO2 is depleted, then the earth cools significantly, thereby causing an ice age.

Evaluate

Whenever we do a Main Conclusion or Role question, we prime our brains before reading the paragraph with the crucial reminder that the conclusion is usually earlier than the evidence!

That's the opposite of arguments in all the other question types, where the conclusion is usually the final claim (or at least in the final sentence). They are trying to hide the conclusion from us on Main Conclusion and Role, so we remind ourselves of the two big patterns: - conclusion is the 1st sentence - conclusion is some sort of "I disagree" rebuttal

When we read the first sentence, if it sounds like the author's opinion, and then the rest of the paragraph goes on to support that opinion, then we know the first claim was the Main Conclusion.

In this case, the first sentence doesn't sound quite like an opinion, because "there is little doubt" sounds like the author is reporting an established fact. But "there is little doubt" still means "we're pretty darn sure", not "we're sure". Also, the rest of the paragraph is just as scientific and factual, so we still need to pick whichever claim sits at the top of the hierarchy of ideas.

The first sentence gives us the causal chain that all the other ideas fit into.

CONCLUSION rich growth ---------------------------------> ice of vegetation ages

EVIDENCE rich growth --> CO2 to --> less CO2 ----> ice of vegetation O2 retaining heat age

Goal

Let's look for an answer that matches the meaning of the first sentence.

13.

Which one of the following most accurately expresses the main conclusion of the scientist's argument?

  1. Excessive growth of vegetation worldwide

    Summary, not a Conclusion

    This isn't a good match for the first sentence, because the first sentence doesn't even mention CO2 in the atmosphere. This is trying to provide a summary of the entire paragraph, whereas we were asked simply to identify the conclusion. Also, the conclusion is saying "ALL the ice ages" were caused by rich growth of vegetation worldwide, whereas this answer choice is only talking about "one or more ice ages".

    9% picked this

  2. If the carbon dioxide in

    Bad Match

    This isn't a good match for the first sentence, because the first sentence doesn't even mention CO2 in the atmosphere.

    13% picked this

  3. An excessive growth of vegetation

    Bad Match

    This isn't a good match for the first sentence, because the first sentence doesn't even mention CO2 in the atmosphere.

    3% picked this

  4. If unusually rich growth of

    Bad Match

    The first sentence isn't a conditional. The author says that rich growth of vegetation caused the ice ages. Period. There isn't anything about CO2 in the first sentence.

    6% picked this

  5. Correct

    Unusually rich growth of vegetation

    Why this is right

    This matches the first sentence, which all the other ideas supported.

    Skill tested: Main Conclusion · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    70% picked this

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