Logical Reasoning

PT114 · S1 · Q9 Some scientists believe that 65

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Some scientists believe that 65 million years ago an asteroid struck what is now the Yucatán Peninsula, thereby causing extinction of the dinosaurs.

Scientists' Belief

The asteroid that hit 65 million years ago around the Yucatan Peninsula caused the extinction of the dinosaurs.

Scientists' Results

The debris launched by the asteroid could have blocked sunlight and cooled the atmosphere such that food sources for herbivorous dinosaurs disappeared, and all dinosaurs would have been killed by a prolonged period of low temps. But the debris would have gone away after six months, which is too soon for the dinosaurs to freeze or for the plants to die off.

Evaluate / Goal

Given that the debris wouldn't have lasted long enough to freeze all the dinosaurs, how can we say that the asteroid is responsible for causing the extinction of the dinosaurs?

We'll need some causal story that gets us from asteroid impact to dinosaur extinction.

9.

Which one of the following, if true, most helps to resolve the apparent discrepancy between the scientists' beliefs and the scientists' results, as described above?

  1. Loss of the herbivorous dinosaurs

    No Impact

    This answer would be perfect if the paradox we were resolving was, "Given that the asteroid would only have killed off the herbivorous dinosaurs food source, how did it make all the dinosaurs go extinct"? This answer would be saying "asteroid leads to blocked sun, which leads to dead plants, which leads to dead herbivorous dinosaurs, which leads to dead carnivorous dinosaurs". The problem is we were told that the debris would only hang in the air for six months, which is too little time for the plants to disappear. So since we have no reason to think the plants disappear in the aftermath of this asteroid, we don't have reason to think the herbivorous dinosaurs die-off because their food source has disappeared. Thus, this answer doesn't get triggered, because it only has impact if we know that the herbivorous ones have died off.

    4% picked this

  2. Dinosaurs inhabited most landmasses on

    Deepens the Paradox

    One possible way to explain how the asteroid could cause the dinosaurs' extinction would be if all the dinosaurs in the world were gathered locally for some dinosaur Burning Man in the Yucatan. They would die from the impact itself, not from the ecological chain reactions. (There actually is another LSAT question that tells this exact story to resolve a similar dinosaur asteroid extinction paradox) But this answer says the opposite. It's saying "most dinosaurs would not have been killed by the initial strike", so we're even more confused how they went extinct, given that the secondary threat only lasted six months.

    4% picked this

  3. A cloud of debris capable

    No Impact

    These are just specific facts about debris and temperature, but we don't know by percent the Yucatan asteroid dimmed the sun, so we can't apply the information in this answer to the paragraph.

    7% picked this

  4. The asteroid was at least

    Too Weak

    Large enough for "many" dinosaurs to be killed ain't good enough. We know lots of local dinosaurs will get killed in the immediate blowback from the impact, but to render them extinct on a global scale, we need to kill more than just "many" of them.

    18% picked this

  5. Correct

    Dinosaurs were susceptible to fatal

    Why this is right

    This gives us a possible way to explain how debris that didn't last long enough to freeze the dinosaurs or kill off the plants that herbivorous ones ate could still have been deadly enough to cause an extinction. If all the dinosaurs got lung cancer during those six months, that could be enough to kill them off on a global scale. Remember that Paradox answers don't have to be bulletproof; they just have to create a storyline by which we could potentially resolve the paradox.

    Skill tested: Paradox · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    67% picked this

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