Logical Reasoning

PT145 · S4 · Q13 Most people who are skilled banjo

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Most people who are skilled banjo players are also skilled guitar players.

Statements

Most skilled banjo are skilled guitar

but

Most skilled guitar are not skilled banjo

Evaluate

We know that correct answers on Inference questions want us to synthesize claims, and we only get two claims here. They have a math-y, quantified feel, so we want to think mathematically.

The famous Most + Most inference that has been tested throughout the years is this: Most A's are B Most A's are C infer: Some B's are C / Some C's are B

But that's not what this is, since the two Most facts are about different groups.

This is a new type of Most + Most inference that has now appeared 2 or 3 times on the last twenty tests. Most A's are B Most B's are ~A infer: There are more B's than A's.

Why is that a valid inference?

A little math helps. Let's say there are 9 skilled banjo players in the world. If we say that most of them are skilled at guitar, then at a minimum we have 5 people who are skilled at banjo and guitar.

So now we get to the fun part: Could we also have 9 skilled guitar players in the world? If so, 5 of them are skilled at banjo and 4 aren't. But that would contradict our statement that "most skilled guitar players aren't good at banjo."

What we have to remember is that the people in this world that are both skilled banjo and skilled guitar are appearing in both of these groups.

When we talk about all the skilled banjo players, we'll be counting these 5 people who are good at banjo and guitar. And when we talk about all the skilled guitar players, we'll be counting these 5 people good at both in that tally as well.

In order for most skilled guitar players to be bad at banjo, we need at least 11 skilled guitar players: 5 are also skilled at banjo, but the majority, the other 6, are not skilled at banjo.

Here it is more graphically:

Just Banjo Banjo and Guitar Just Guitar 4 5 6

9 people are good at banjo. 11 people are good at guitar. 5 people are good at both.

When we say that Most A's are B but Most B's are ~A we're saying that people who are both A and B are a majority of Group A but a minority of Group B.

In our example before, there were 5 people good at both banjo and guitar.

The statements are saying that these 5 people are a majority of the skilled banjo players, so the max total for banjo would be 9.

The statements are saying that these 5 people are a minority of the skilled guitar players, so the min total for guitar would be 11.

if you want to see the other example of this, check out Test 80, Section 1, Q22.

Goal

Look for an answer saying there are more skilled guitarists than skilled banjo players.

13.

If the statements above are true, which one of the following must also be true?

  1. There are more people who

    Contradicted

    The people who do guitar and banjo are a minority (under 50%) of the total guitar playing group. So the number of people skilled only at guitar has to be bigger than the number of people skilled at both.

    6% picked this

  2. A person trying to learn

    Out of Scope

    Out of Scope: more likely to succeed This is a Must Be True question and there's no way we can invent ideas about which instrument one is more likely to succeed on.

    4% picked this

  3. Playing the guitar takes more

    Unsupported Comparison: more skill

    Just like (B), the idea of takes more skill is completely out of scope, and we could never derive that idea from facts that are purely mathematical in nature.

    1% picked this

  4. Correct

    There are more people who

    Why this is right

    Let's say that there are x people who are good at banjo and guitar. We are told that x > 50% of skilled banjoists. We are told that x < 50% of skilled guitarists. That means that skilled guitarists has to be a bigger number. If I say, "Whoa, I can't pay $3000 a month for that apartment. That's more than half my monthly income" and my friend Regina says, "That's less than half of my monthly income", we can infer two things: - Regina's a jerk - Regina makes more money per month than I do

    Skill tested: Must be True · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    83% picked this

  5. There are more people who

    Contradicted

    The correct answer is the opposite of this idea, so check out the breakdown of the stimulus and the explanation for (C) again to remind yourself why there have to be more guitarists than banjo players.

    7% picked this

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