Psychologist: We asked 100 entrepreneurs

Answer choices

1. A

   Out of Scope1% picked this

   The questions asked of the entrepreneurs and business managers included personal, political,

   The specific topic of each question is not relevant to whether there exists a strong correlation between those who are especially overconfident and those who start a business.

   1%
2. B

   Too Weak10% picked this

   At least some of the entrepreneurs surveyed had accurately determined before attempting to start their businesses what the odds were

   This does not establish that those who had determined the odds were against their attempts being successful may not be the ones who are especially overconfident.

   10%
3. C

   Out of Scope3% picked this

   Another survey showed that degree of confidence was highly correlated with

   Whether those who are especially overconfident are successful in business does not speak to whether those who are especially overconfident are more likely to start a business.

   3%
4. D

   Correct66% picked this

   The business managers who were most overconfident were found to have attempted to start businesses

   Why this is right

   This discusses those people who are especially overconfident and it connects them all to having started a business, thereby supporting the conclusion.

   Skill tested: Strengthen · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

   66%
5. E

   Irrelevant Comparison21% picked this

   How confident each person surveyed was that his or her answers to the questions asked were correct corresponded closely to that person's confidence

   This connects confidence in one’s answers to confidence in one’s business acumen. But confidence in one’s business acumen is not the same as the likelihood that one will start a business.

   21%