Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Hard

PT105 S2 Q18 Explanation

In recent years the climate has

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsParadox

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Stimulus

In recent years the climate has been generally cool in northern Asia. But during periods when the average daily temperature and humidity in northern Asia were slightly higher than their normal levels the yields of most crops grown there increased significantly. In the next century, the increased average daily temperature and humidity of most of the region’s crops will decrease during the next century.

What this question is testing

Paradox

Your task

Break the argument into its conclusion and evidence, then do exactly what the question stem asks with that structure.

Common trap

Answers that sound relevant to the topic but don't connect to the argument's actual reasoning.

Winning move

Predict what a right answer must do, then test each choice against the conclusion-evidence gap.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
18.

Which one of the following, if true, most helps to resolve the apparent paradox in

Answer choices

  1. Out of Scope3% picked this

    Crop yields in southern Asia are expected to remain constant even after the average daily temperature and humidity

    Out of Scope: southern Asia Doesn't Explain After reading this, we still feel confused. It's talking about what's going on somewhere else, but it's not clear what, if anything, it tells us about our situation in Northern Asia. I still have no idea why permanent increases in temp / humidity will have a negative effect on crop yields in the North but no effect on crop yields in the South.

  2. Deepens Paradox10% picked this

    Any increases in temperature and humidity would be accompanied by higher levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide, which is

    This is saying that in a warmer, more humid world, there would also be higher levels of CO2, which helps the plant respire. So this is going the opposite direction of what we want our answer to do. We want an answer to explain why crop plants would have it worse in the warmer, more humid world, and this is giving us a reason why crop plants would have it better in that world.

  3. Correct64% picked this

    The climate in northern Asia has generally been too cool and dry in recent years for populations of many crop

    Why this is right

    This aloofly provides a factor that could be worse for crop plants in the warmer, more humid world. Since crop pests have been absent because the climate was too cool and dry, it suggests that when the climate gets warmer and wetter, the crop pests will establish themselves. And common sense tells us that more crop pests could lead to decreasing yields.

    Skill tested: Paradox · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  4. Deepens Paradox3% picked this

    In many parts of Asia, the increased annual precipitation that would result from warmer and wetter climates would cause most

    We're looking for an answer that explains why a warmer / wetter climate would be bad for crop yields. This sounds like the opposite; it tells us that a warmer / wetter climate would help crop plants flourish.

  5. Deepens Paradox20% picked this

    The recent climate of northern Asia prevents many crops from being farmed there

    We're looking for an answer that explains why a warmer / wetter climate would be bad for crop yields. This sounds more like a warmer winter would allow more crops to be farmed (and more crops = more yields).

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