Logical Reasoning

PT6 · S3 · Q13 Arguing that there was no

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Arguing that there was no trade between Europe and East Asia in the early Middle Ages because there are no written records of such trade is like arguing that the yeti, an apelike creature supposedly existing in the Himalayas, does not exist because there have been no scientifically confirmed sightings.

Conclusion (implied)

There may have been trade between Europe and East Asia, even though there are no written records

Evidence

Arguing that no trade between Europe and East Asia occurred in the early Middle Ages due to the absence of written records is like arguing the yeti does not exist because there have been no confirmed sightings.

A verifiable sighting of the yeti would prove its existence, but the absence of sightings cannot prove it does not exist.

Evaluate

The argument is presenting an analogy. It compares the lack of written records of trade between Europe and East Asia to the lack of confirmed sightings of the yeti. The argument concludes that just as absence of confirmed yeti sightings doesn't disprove its existence, the absence of written records doesn't disprove the trade.

To counter this argument, we can show that these situations are not truly analogous. In other words, what makes the absence of evidence more indicative of the absence of the phenomenon in one case but not the other?

Goal

Let's find an answer that provides a reason why the absence of written records would be more conclusive evidence against the existence of trade than the absence of sightings would be against the existence of the yeti.

13.

Which one of the following considerations, if true, best counters the argument?

  1. Most of the evidence for

    Strengthens (if anything)

    The fact that most evidence for trade doesn't involve written records would seem to help the author argue that a lack of written records isn't a significant sign of whether there was trade.

    16% picked this

  2. Although written records of trade

    Mixed Impact

    The fact that there are almost no European documents from that period mentioning trade helps the author argue that "a lack of written records about trade between Europe and East Asia isn't significant; after all there aren't written records about ANYONE they traded with". But the first half of the answer hurts the author. There ARE written records from East Asia, and since we know from the evidence that none of them mention trade within Europe, that would make it seem like they weren't trading with Europe.

    5% picked this

  3. Any trade between Europe and

    No Impact

    Even if trade was of very low volume and involved only high-priced items, this doesn't directly address whether written records' absence is more indicative of trade not existing. It doesn't counter the analogy effectively.

    1% picked this

  4. There have been no confirmed

    Opposite Impact (Strengthens)

    This option reinforces the argument, providing an example that would help the author say, "even there are no direct sightings of the yeti, it could still be real!"

    8% picked this

  5. Correct

    There are surviving European and

    Why this is right

    This answer identifies that there are existing records that, if trade had occurred, would have likely mentioned it. Therefore, their silence is more telling of trade's absence than the lack of confirmed yeti sightings is of the yeti's non-existence. This directly addresses and weakens the argument by showing that the analogy isn't parallel.

    Skill tested: Weaken · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    70% picked this

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