A certain professional musician spends several times as many hours practicing guitar as she spends practicing saxophone. But she is hired much more often
Why this is right
We put more resources into Thing 1 (guitar) than Thing 2 (saxophone). But Thing 2 seems like a bigger opportunity (more sax gigs). Thus, we should divert resources away from Thing 1 and towards Thing 2. This definitely takes some massaging in order to match it up with the original, but this would fit the original too: We put more resources into Thing 1 (highway) than Thing 2 (smoking). But Thing 2 seems like a bigger opportunity (more smoking deaths). Thus, we should divert resources away from Thing 1 and towards Thing 2. I feel good that we can make it structurally match, but I'm not sure what flaw they think we should be considering with both of these ideas. The conclusion is by no means something that follows logically, but is there some name for what's wrong with the argument? Is there a common objection? In both cases, the author is assuming that the extra resources would actually make a difference. - would spending more money on smoking do anything, or are smokers going to stubbornly continue either way? - would spending more practice time on sax actually do anything to book more gigs, or is she already good enough that she'll get the same number of gigs regardless of how much extra she practices? In both cases, the author is failing to consider how Thing 1 might get worse without the resources. - if we spend $500M less on highway, will we end up getting a lot more deaths from that? - if we practice less on guitar, will we end up getting fewer guitar gigs from that?
Skill tested: Parallel Flaw · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.