Arnold: I was recently denied a seat on an airline flight for which I had a confirmed reservation, because the airline had overbooked the flight.
Jamie's Conclusion
The airline is not morally obligated to pay you any compensation.
Jamie's Evidence
Given that your original flights was canceled due to bad weather, you would have missed your business meeting even if you hadn't been bumped from your original flight.
Evaluate
Jamie is saying that the result would have been the same (missed business meeting) whether the airline had allowed Arnold on his scheduled flight or bumped him, so they don't owe him money for the missed business meeting because of bumping him due to an overbooked flight.
Goal
Her principle would sound like,
If your original flight → airline isn't morally would have had obligated to pay result X anyway your for result X
Because of how the question stem is written, we know that the correct answer will need to start with only if or some other necessary-condition indicator word.
Jamie is trying to say the airline isn't morally obligated to pay, but this answer is saying "the airline is morally obligated to pay".
If we hear , then we can contrapose and get a useful rule like, "If not X, then not obligated to pay".