Reading ComprehensionDifficulty: Medium

PT157 S4 P2 Q9 ExplanationWisdom of Markets

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Reading Comprehension question.

TopicsPrimary PurposeSociety

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Passage

Passage

Markets, such as stock exchanges, distill the collective wisdom of millions of individuals into a single number, and they do so with amazing efficiency. In contrast to other information-gathering institutions, such as committees and polls, markets require participants to put hard dollars behind their opinions. What's more, markets reward people who are most aggressive or who have the most degrees after their name.

Some markets have been engineered for the purpose of providing forecasts. For over a decade, an academic project called the Iowa Electronic Markets has predicted the outcomes of certain elections better than 75 percent of the polls did. Investors put money into a pool. If there are two candidates, each dollar invested then the market as a whole thinks candidate A has a 53 percent chance of winning.

Markets are highly "efficient," in the sense that the market as a whole learns—lightning fast and very accurately—what informed people know. In one experiment, a dozen participants were permitted to trade a fictional stock, having been told that it was worth one of three possible amounts. Two of the participants were then of the market price, and within seconds, everyone was acting as if they were insiders.

Passage

Markets are not infallible. To many people, this statement is a form of economic blasphemy. I suggest get over it.

In a recent election, the Iowa Electronic Markets had the eventual winner trading far lower than an opponent up until a few days before the event. For almost a solid year leading up that the opponent would win easily.

Think of markets as racetracks: you get paid lower odds the better the horse looks before a race. When the nag appears ill, old, or tired, the odds are highest, and buyers get the greatest potential payoff. When the steed starts to a win starts looking more and more likely.

If "prediction markets" do not actually predict the future, then what do they do? I suggest they merely reflect the majority opinion at a given moment. That does not imbue them with any special omniscience. Think of them as polls that avoid random spoofing because the polled must pay an entry fee guess. Like the majority, sometimes they are right, and sometimes they are wrong.

What this question is testing

Primary Purpose

Anticipate

Passage A is the hype man: markets are amazing, efficient, smarter than polls. Passage B is the skeptic: markets are just opinion polls with a cover charge. So the purpose pair should be something like "promote/celebrate" and "debunk/deflate."

Goal

Find the pair that captures A cheerleading and B throwing shade.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
9.

'The purpose of passage A and the purpose of passage B, respectively,

Answer choices, explained

  1. Wrong Emphasis8% picked this

    persuade and

    We could maybe say that Passage is trying to persuade us that markets are awesome, but it doesn't feel right to call Passage B an informative passage. It seemed to have at least as much opinion as Passage A did, so we definitely wouldn't want to attach the more opinionated purpose to A and the more neutral one to B.

  2. Wrong Emphasis3% picked this

    challenge and

    Passage B's purpose was clearly to challenge the conventional wisdom about markets. B's author seems to understand she's a heretic going against the grain. It would be a little weird to say that Passage A was "defending" markets, because it gives us no reason to think anyone is attacking markets, but if anything these two words are reversed in terms of which passage better deserves each one.

  3. Wrong Emphasis12% picked this

    present and

    This one is doable, but it loses to the correct answer because it does a poorer job of capturing the relationship between the two passages. Passage A does present the topic of "markets" to its audience. Passage B does do some interpreting in its final paragraph: If "prediction markets" do not actually predict the future, then what do they do? I suggest that they ... But would we have ever said that B's main agenda was to interpret? It seems more holistic to think that B sat down to write this piece on markets in order to debunk the idea that they are infallible portraits of reality, rather than just flawed predictions based on the flawed human opinions they're based on. If we were down to 2 between (C) and (E), we want to ask ourselves, which one better captures the relationship between the two passages? Given that Passage A was pro-market and Passage B was anti-market, this answer just doesn't capture the big picture as well as the original.

  4. Out of Scope2% picked this

    entertain and

    It's hard to say that Passage A was trying to entertain. It was telling us all about markets, and maybe we would find that discussion stimulating, but entertaining? Also, Passage B was writing with an opinionated bent, trying to debunk the esteem that people have for markets. She wasn't trying to educate, which sounds neutral / informative.

  5. Correct75% picked this

    advocate and

    Why this is right

    This definitely captures the pro-market / anti-market relationship between the two passages. Passage A is a zealot supporter of the power of markets, whereas Passage B's Challenge Position purpose was meant to deflate people's overestimation of markets as something infallible and supremely intelligent. Many of us will probably struggle to accept advocate when it comes to Passage A, especially if we think that the verb connotes the idea of issuing a specific recommendation. Passage A clearly doesn't prescribe that we do something. They're not our doctor advocating that we eat less sodium. But there's also a meaning to advocate that just means support. Passage A certainly supports markets: - they distill wisdom ... with amazing efficiency - they reward people who are right (unlike other information-gathering institutions which can reward those who convincingly lie or have the most prestige behind them) - they are highly 'efficient' If we were debating between the "definitely true, but doesn't capture essence of the relationship well" option of (C) and this "not sure if advocate is too much, but this definitely captures the relationship well", we would have wanted to lean towards making sure the answer did a good job of contrasting the two passages, which is where (E) shines.

    Skill tested: Primary Purpose · how this choice captures the passage's function is the move to repeat next time.

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