Logical Reasoning

PT146 · S3 · Q8 Numerous studies suggest that when

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Numerous studies suggest that when scientific evidence is presented in a trial, jurors regard that evidence as more credible than they would if they had encountered the same evidence outside of the courtroom context.

Curious Fact

Why do jurors think of evidence as more credible when they see it inside the courtroom vs. outside of a courtroom?

Hypothesis

Judges prescreen scientific evidence and only allow credible scientific evidence to be presented in the courtroom (so jurors are more likely to trust what they see in a courtroom).

Evaluate

We always evaluate Curious Fact / Explanation situations through two prisms: 1. can we think of an Alternate Explanation for the curious fact?

What could be a different reason why jurors are more likely to regard evidence as credible when it's presented in a courtroom? (maybe it's because people are wearing suits and sounding like experts / maybe it's because people swear in on a bible before they testify)

2. how plausible is the Author's Explanation for it?

What would need to be true for this hypothesis to even make sense? (we would have to assume that jurors are aware that the evidence has been pre-screened for credibility / we have to assume that jurors trust this pre-screening process to filter out dubious stuff / we have to assume a difference, that when people see scientific evidence outside of a courtroom, it hasn't gone through some filtering process to weed out the dubious stuff)

Goal

Look for an answer either asking whether or not an Alternate Explanation could be true, or for an answer asking a question that's central to whether or not we'd consider the author's hypothesis plausible.

One subtle but important feature of the hypothesis is that they're saying the trusting effect is primarily due to the fact that judges prescreen evidence. Because of that word, they're allowing for the idea that other things might also make a difference.

So an Alternate Explanation here will only weaken if we learn that it is the primary reason why people are more trusting of evidence in the courtroom. Thus, we might be more likely to get a correct answer attacking the plausibility of the Author's Hypothesis.

8.

Which one of the following would be most useful to know in order to evaluate the legal theorists’ hypothesis?

  1. Correct

    whether jurors typically know that

    Why this is right

    On Evaluate, we're basically looking for a question / toss-up that could be answered in a way that would Weaken the argument. Here, if we say, "No, jurors typically do not know that judges have appraised the scientific evidence for accuracy" then that would basically blow the hypothesis to bits. If your friends are hypothesizing why you're so into that new bartender and their hypothesis is, "He likes her because of her Bob Marley tattoo", then it would totally unravel their hypothesis if you told them, "Oh, did she have a Bob Marley tattoo? I didn't even see it!" Similarly, there's no way to believe that jurors are more trusting of evidence in a courtroom because it's been pre-screened if jurors have no idea that it's been pre-screened. If they don't realize there's a difference between accuracy-filtered courtroom evidence and unfiltered scientific evidence outside of the courtroom, then how would that explain their different mentality?

    Skill tested: Evaluate · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    88% picked this

  2. whether jurors’ reactions to scientific

    Weak Impact

    This one feels somewhat tempting to me because it looks like it might be hinting at an Alternate Explanation -- jurors don't think of scientific evidence in the courtroom differently because they trust that the judge has pre-screened it for accuracy, they think of it differently because their fellow jurors convince them to think of it differently. Here's the problem with that ... if we stick to the actual wording of the answer choice, it's not leading us far enough into that story we were just telling. We can either say NO, jurors' reactions to sci evid isn't influenced by other members of the jury at all. (that would have no impact on the argument, other than maybe to strengthen it a little bit by ruling out the influence of other jurors.) or we can say YES, jurors' reactions to sci evid are influenced by other members of the jury. But is that our big weakener? We're saying, "Not so, author! You forget -- jurors' reactions to scientific evidence are influenced by other members of the jury." It's such a weak truth to say that one's reaction is influenced by other people. We don't know in what way or in what direction it's influenced, so we're just telling ourselves too much of a story to say, "the other jurors are convincing us to trust this scientific evidence more than we would trust similar evidence presented outside the courtroom". Because the hypothesis of the legal theorists was that the trusting effect was primarily due to the pre-screening process, the author would still allow for the idea that other jurors influence us too, somewhat (just not the primary reason).

    3% picked this

  3. how jurors determine the credibility

    Out of Scope: expert witness

    Even though an expert witness who is presenting scientific evidence is definitely one source of scientific evidence within a courtroom context, you don't need to have an expert witness in order to have scientific evidence presented. So learning about how jurors determine the credibility of an expert witness would only partially inform us about why jurors in general trust scientific evidence more in the courtroom. The curious comparison is that the jurors trust "evidence X" more if they hear it in a courtroom than they would if they heard the exact same "evidence X" the courtroom. Since we would never be gauging the credibility of an expert witness outside the courtroom, by talking about an expert witness, we're no longer talking about the sort of situation the Curious Fact is describing. If this answer said, "how jurors determine the credibility of the scientific evidence that is being presented at a trial" we'd pick it.

    4% picked this

  4. whether jurors typically draw upon

    No Impact

    Whether people do or don't draw upon their own scientific knowledge in assessing scientific evidence, that wouldn't explain why they are more trusting in a courtroom vs. outside of a courtroom. If they were exclusively using their own knowledge to assess, then there would be no difference between assessing evidence inside vs. outside a courtroom context. Since we already know for a fact there IS a difference between how evidence is assessed in each of those two contexts, we know that something changes when these jurors are inside a courtroom, but their own scientific knowledge isn't the sort of thing that would be different in one case vs. the other.

    3% picked this

  5. how jurors respond to situations

    Out of Scope: conflicting assessments

    This is getting way too far removed from what we're trying to examine. We're just looking to explain why "evidence X" is more trusted if viewed in a courtroom context than if viewed outside of one. The sort of situation described in this answer, in which two experts have conflicting assessments, is just too different and too messy to inform our thinking on the issue we are trying to examine.

    3% picked this

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