Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Hard

PT146 S1 Q16 Explanation

In most of this forest, the expected

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

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Stimulus

In most of this forest, the expected outbreak of tree-eating tussock moths should not be countered. After all, the moth is beneficial where suppression of forest fires, for example, has with immature trees, and _______ .

What this question is testing

Strengthen

Your task

Find the choice that makes the argument's conclusion more likely to be true.

Common trap

Answers that are consistent with the argument but add no real support, or that strengthen a claim the argument doesn't make.

Winning move

Locate the gap between evidence and conclusion, then pick the choice that closes it.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
16.

The conclusion of the argument is most strongly supported if which one of the following

Answer choices

  1. Correct65% picked this

    more than half of the forest is unnaturally crowded with

    Why this is right

    "More than half of the forest" matches up with "most of this forest" from the conclusion. "Unnaturally crowded with immature trees" is the environment in which we're told the tree-eating TM is beneficial. So this helps us support the idea that in most of the forest, we should allow the tree-eating TM to do its thang.

    Skill tested: Strengthen · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  2. Goes Against Gist15% picked this

    mature trees are usually the first to be eaten by

    If they tell us that a tree-eating species of moth is beneficial in an area that is unnaturally crowded with immature trees, then presumably this moth species helps us out by eating the immature trees down to a normal level.

  3. Goes Against Gist15% picked this

    usually a higher proportion of mature trees than of immature ones are destroyed

    If suppression of forest fires results in an unnatural crowding of immature trees, it sounds like non-suppression of forest fires (i.e. allowing forest fires to happen) would result in less crowding of immature trees. So it sounds like forest fires have the usual effect of shrinking the immature tree population. We don't know officially whether it's a higher/lower proportion of immature than mature trees dying in a forest fire. But since the information only stressed the fact that the immature trees are dying in a forest fire, it would be going against the grain to pick an answer saying that mature trees are the ones more affected.

  4. Doesn't Strengthen4% picked this

    the expected outbreak of tussock moths will almost certainly occur if no attempt is made

    We shouldn't counter the outbreak -- why? Because if don't counter it, it's almost certain to happen. Okay ... but why do we want it to happen? There is a hint at why -- maybe we want it to happen because we need to get rid of a lot of unusual crowding of immature trees, but this answer isn't providing any reason why. Think about how unpersuasive this would sound as a strengthener, if you applied to something you had a negative opinion of: We shouldn't counter the expected sinking of this ship, because the ship will almost certainly sink if no attempt is made to avert the sinking. Without knowing whether the outbreak is a good or bad thing, helping its inevitability along might be great, might be awful.

  5. Too Weak1% picked this

    there are no completely effective countermeasures against

    It's not much of a strengthener to say "we shouldn't try to counter the outbreak, because there are no 100% effective countermeasures." Consider how ridiculous that would sound if you were saying, "we shouldn't try to counter COVID-19, because there are no 100% effective countermeasures". Okay, we'll I'll take something that's 90% effective! Our author isn't saying we should avoid trying to stop the moth in most of the forest because our moth-beating options are flawed; it's because the moth can be beneficial in a certain type of context.

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