Many important types of medicine have been developed from substances discovered in plants that grow only in tropical rain forests.
Conclusion (thus)
If the rain forests are not preserved, important types of medicine will never be developed.
Evidence
If the rain forests are not preserved, then thousands of plant species that have yet to be studied by scientists will be lost.
Many important types of medicine have been developed from substances in tropical rain forest plants, and it's very likely that many of the plants our scientists have yet to study also contain substances of medicinal value.
Evaluate
The conclusion is ambiguously phrased --- is the author saying that , or is she just saying, ?
I'm more inclined to hear it the 2nd way. It seems like she's saying a world in which the rain forests aren't preserved is a world with fewer important types of medicine than a world in which the rain forests are preserved.
So, GIVEN THAT .. there are thousands of species we haven't yet studied, and that it's very likely that many of those species have substances of medicinal value, HOW COULD WE ARGUE that getting rid of the rain forest will not lead ot us being deprived of some important new meds we'd otherwise have developed?
It's tricky to find the wiggle room here. Let's say we keep the rain forest ... what assumptions are being made that go into the idea that important medicines will be developed from the plants that contain substances of medicinal value?
- we're assuming that scientists will be able to locate plants that have medicinal value (if it's just "many" out of thousands, that could be a tiny, tiny percentage -- many has no precise definition but "at least 5 or 10" is a good functional definition. If there are like 10 to 15 plants with medicinal value out of thousands of unstudied plants, there's no guarantee scientists would ever find them)
- if scientists do locate plants with medicinal value, then we're assuming that they're able and willing to remove these plants for the sake of drug development. We're assuming that drug companies would be able to extract the medicinally useful substances. We're assuming the drug companies would be able / willing to develop new drugs based on these substances. And we're assuming some of these new drugs would be important types of medicine.
- finally , we're assuming that whatever special substances the thousands of unstudied plants may contain are found only in the tropical rain forest. We were told that many important existing drugs came from substances growing only in the tropical rain forest. But we were never told that .
Goal
We might see a missing link objection, like, , or we might see an answer ruling out one of our many objections.