Logical Reasoning

PT143 · S4 · Q20 Many important types of medicine

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Many important types of medicine have been developed from substances discovered in plants that grow only in tropical rain forests.

Conclusion (thus)

If the rain forests are not preserved, important types of medicine will never be developed.

Evidence

If the rain forests are not preserved, then thousands of plant species that have yet to be studied by scientists will be lost.

Many important types of medicine have been developed from substances in tropical rain forest plants, and it's very likely that many of the plants our scientists have yet to study also contain substances of medicinal value.

Evaluate

The conclusion is ambiguously phrased --- is the author saying that , or is she just saying, ?

I'm more inclined to hear it the 2nd way. It seems like she's saying a world in which the rain forests aren't preserved is a world with fewer important types of medicine than a world in which the rain forests are preserved.

So, GIVEN THAT .. there are thousands of species we haven't yet studied, and that it's very likely that many of those species have substances of medicinal value, HOW COULD WE ARGUE that getting rid of the rain forest will not lead ot us being deprived of some important new meds we'd otherwise have developed?

It's tricky to find the wiggle room here. Let's say we keep the rain forest ... what assumptions are being made that go into the idea that important medicines will be developed from the plants that contain substances of medicinal value?

- we're assuming that scientists will be able to locate plants that have medicinal value (if it's just "many" out of thousands, that could be a tiny, tiny percentage -- many has no precise definition but "at least 5 or 10" is a good functional definition. If there are like 10 to 15 plants with medicinal value out of thousands of unstudied plants, there's no guarantee scientists would ever find them)

- if scientists do locate plants with medicinal value, then we're assuming that they're able and willing to remove these plants for the sake of drug development. We're assuming that drug companies would be able to extract the medicinally useful substances. We're assuming the drug companies would be able / willing to develop new drugs based on these substances. And we're assuming some of these new drugs would be important types of medicine.

- finally , we're assuming that whatever special substances the thousands of unstudied plants may contain are found only in the tropical rain forest. We were told that many important existing drugs came from substances growing only in the tropical rain forest. But we were never told that .

Goal

We might see a missing link objection, like, , or we might see an answer ruling out one of our many objections.

20.

Which one of the following is an assumption required by the argument?

  1. Correct

    There are substances of medicinal

    Why this is right

    Put simply, this is saying that the author assumes that "there are some new cool medicinal ingredients in some of these unstudied plants". Was our author clearly thinking that within those thousands of unstudied plants, scientists would find at least one new substance of medicinal value? Of course! So we know this is a correct answer. If we negate this idea, it's saying "all the substances of medicinal value in these unstudied plants do not differ from the substances already discovered in tropical rain forest plants". That negation would hugely weaken the argument, which means this is a correct answer. The negation would mean that you could raze tropical rain forests, and you wouldn't miss out on any new drugs, since all the substances of medicinal value in those mystery plants are just duplicates of stuff we've already derived from other plants.

    Skill tested: Necessary Assumption · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    71% picked this

  2. Most of the tropical rain

    Weakens

    This is actually one of our objections, not something the author would assume (authors don't assume things that hurt their arguments). A correct answer could have sounded like this: at least some of the tropical rain forest plants that have yet to be studied and that contain substances of medicinal value cannot be found growing in other types of environment.

    1% picked this

  3. The majority of plant species

    Too Strong/Specific: majority

    The word / concept of "most" is wrong on Necessary Assumption 99% of the time we see it. After all, when you negate "most", you basically go from thinking something is true 51% of the time to thinking it's true 49% of the time. Would it matter to the author's argument whether 51% of unique tropical rain forest plants have turned out to have cool medicinal substances vs. only 49% of them? Of course not. Either way, that's a sizable, meaningful chunk of them that have medicinal value! Because the difference between 51% and 49% is almost always meaningless, authors almost never need to assume that something is true of "most".

    3% picked this

  4. Any substance of medicinal value

    Too Strong: any will be

    This answer accuses the author of thinking, "if the scientists were able to get their hands on these thousands of unstudied plants, in 100% of cases where one of these plants had something medicinally useful, scientists would discover it." Was the author thinking that scientists would have a perfect success ratio when it comes to spotting a medicinally valuable substance? Would the argument be hurt if they were only 99% successful at finding new plants that had medicinal substances? Of course not. If they're even 1% successful at finding a new substance, and that goes on to become an important medicine, then the author's argument will have been correct.

    12% picked this

  5. The tropical rain forests should

    Out of Scope: should

    This argument was descriptive, not normative, so language like "should" is just brand new. This is a classic piece of bait LSAT uses on things like Necessary Assumption or Main Conclusion. We're only supposed to be attending to what was actually said, but they're trying to entice us into picking the Next Thing that the author might say. We can only look at the internal logic of the statements. We're not supposed to be psychoanalyzing these authors and thinking, "Why would you even be saying the things you're saying? You must be hoping to ultimately go here with the conversation". I could make an argument about "President Nancy is eroding democratic norms. Thus, if she is re-elected, this country will no longer be a democracy". Am I assuming that "President Nancy shouldn't be re-elected"? Nope. Because you have no idea whether I actually want to keep this country a democracy. Similarly, we have no idea if this author wants important new medicines to be developed. Not to mention, we're only hearing part of the story. Maybe President Nancy will end democracy, but she'll also end poverty and systemic racism. Maybe I'd accept those tradeoffs. Similarly, maybe getting rid of the rain forests would make us miss out on some important types of medicine, but it would make my family's logging company rich! Maybe I'd accept those tradeoffs.

    13% picked this

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