“This company will not be training

Answer choices

1. A

   Correct79% picked this

   Most of the trained pilots who are on a waiting list for a job are on the waiting lists

   Why this is right

   If we had 400 pilots looking for a job, and they submitted their resume to Southwest, American, Delta, United, Jet Blue, and Spirit, then all six airlines would have 400 pilots on their waiting list. But there would only be 400 pilots in total! So if each airline needed 100 pilots, that's 600 pilots we need and only 400 we have. Thus we WOULD have a shortage of pilots. This answer is taking us in that direction. The more overlap there is between the pilots on the waiting list, the fewer pilots we actually have (we might have closer to 400 pilots, as opposed to the 2400 pilots we'd have if there were no overlap between waiting lists).

   Skill tested: Weaken · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

   79%
2. B

   No Impact3% picked this

   In the long run, pilot training will become necessary to compensate

   This seems to go against the very first claim, where they say there won't be pilot training for the foreseeable future. But it's not really going against that claim, because "in the long run" is farther out than the foreseeable future. Humans aren't going extinct in the foreseeable future, but in the long run, humans are going extinct. We're not supposed to be attacking this claim, to begin with. We're supposed to be attacking the idea that there won't be a pilot shortage, and this answer doesn't really have anything to do with whether we have enough pilots applicants to fill the upcoming pilot positions.

   3%
3. C

   No Impact7% picked this

   If no new pilots are trained, there will be an age imbalance in the

   The conclusion concerns quantity, not workforce diversity or balance. Age imbalance doesn't necessarily imply a personnel shortage.

   7%
4. D

   Opposite (if anything)5% picked this

   The quoted personnel projections take account of the current upswing in

   This makes it hard for us to argue that the projection of "not too many more than 100 per company" is way too low and that in reality there will be much higher demand for pilots. So since it undermines a potential line of objection, it kinda strengthens.

   5%
5. E

   Opposite (if anything)6% picked this

   Some of the other major companies are still training pilots but with no presumption

   The fact that at least one company is still training pilots doesn't give us much to work with, in terms of judging whether there will be a shortage of pilots. If anything, the fact that some companies are still training pilots speaks to a higher supply of pilots ready to go, which makes it harder to argue that there will be a shortage.

   6%