Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Easy

PT139 S1 Q24 Explanation

In an effort to reduce underage

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsFlaw

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Stimulus

In an effort to reduce underage drinking, the Department of Health has been encouraging adolescents to take a pledge not to drink alcohol until they reach the legal age. This seems to be successful. A survey of seventeen-year-olds has found that many who do not drink report having taken who drink report having never taken such a pledge.

What this question is testing

Flaw

Your task

Describe the reasoning error the argument actually commits.

Common trap

Answers that name a real logical flaw the argument doesn't actually make.

Winning move

Articulate the gap in the reasoning yourself, then match it to the choice that describes that gap.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
24.

The reasoning in the argument is most vulnerable to criticism because

Answer choices

  1. Bad Evidence Match2% picked this

    bases a conclusion about the efficacy of a method to reduce underage drinking merely on a normative judgment about

    Since this answer is structured, bases a conclusion about X merely on Y we need to ask ourselves if X matches the conclusion and Y matches the evidence. Is the conclusion "about the efficacy of a method to reduce underage drinking"? Sure. The conclusion is saying that the method of "having adolescents say the no-drinking pledge" seems to be effective in having reduced underage drinking. Is the premise "a normative judgment about the morality of underage drinking"? No, it's the results of a survey.

  2. Not an Objection1% picked this

    fails to consider that an alternative method of reducing underage drinking might

    Since the answer starts with fails to consider / overlooks the possibility, we can ask ourselves whether the idea that follows is an Objection. Can we object, "Hey, author --- the pledge has not succeeded in reducing underage drinking. After all, other methods can reduce underage drinking by even more?" No. If the pledge made underage drinking go down at all, then the author's conclusion is 100% true. She didn't say this pledge was the best method. She only claimed that it seems to be having some reductive effect.

  3. Correct81% picked this

    infers from an association between pledging not to drink and refraining from drinking that the pledging was the

    Why this is right

    This names the famous Correlation vs. Causation flaw. Since this answer is structured, infers from Y that X we can ask ourselves if X matches the conclusion and Y matches the evidence. Is the conclusion saying that "the pledging was the cause of refraining from drinking"? Yes. By saying the campaign has been successful, the author means that it has achieved its goal of reducing underage drinking. How did the campaign attempt to reduce underage drinking? By making teens say the pledge. So saying the campaign was successful is equivalent to saying that "making teens say the pledge led to a reduction in underage drinking". Is the evidence pointing to "an association between pledging not to drink and refraining from drinking"? Yes, the survey results involve "taking the pledge" co-varying with "refraining from drinking".

    Skill tested: Flaw · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  4. Not Necessary vs. Sufficient7% picked this

    treats a condition that is sufficient to produce an outcome as though it were necessary for

    This answer refers to the #1 famous flaw, Necessary vs. Sufficient, in which the author provides a conditional statement in the evidence, and then uses that conditional statement in an illegal reversed or negated way to arrive at his conclusion. There was only one premise here (the survey results) and it wasn't conditional, so there's no way this could match.

  5. Doesn't Confuse / Equivalent Expressions9% picked this

    confuses the claim that many adolescents who do not drink report having taken the pledge with the claim that many who report having

    The author isn't confusing anything in terms of how he thinks about the two different groups of 17 year olds in the survey results. Moreover, the claim "many X's are Y" is equivalent to "many Y's are X". They both mean, "There's at least a handful of things that are both X and Y".

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