Logical Reasoning

PT130 · S4 · Q21 The odds of winning any major lottery

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

  • Save & drill this skill — build targeted practice sets from questions like this one

  • Video walkthroughs — watch every question solved step by step

  • 81 official LSATs — as questions, timed sections & full-length tests

Start practicing free

The odds of winning any major lottery jackpot are extremely slight.

Evidence

The odds of winning any major lottery jackpot are extremely slight.

However, the very few people who do win major jackpots receive a great deal of attention from the media.

Most people come to have at least some awareness of events that receive extensive media coverage.

Conclusion

It is likely that many people greatly overestimate the odds of their winning a major jackpot.

Evaluate

The evidence establishes that most people come to have some awareness of the very few people who do win major jackpots. The argument assumes that one’s awareness of someone else winning the jackpot increases one’s estimate of the likelihood of winning the jackpot themselves.

21.

Which one of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends?

  1. Most people who overestimate the

    Too Strong / Term Shift

    The argument assumes that some people who overestimate the odds of their winning a major jackpot are influenced by extensive media coverage making them aware of the event. But to say this is true for most of those who overestimate the likelihood of winning a major jackpot goes too far. Furthermore, the argument involves awareness of events that receive extensive media coverage, while this is much more specific about how the media coverage leads one to believe the odds of winning are greater than is the case.

    12% picked this

  2. Very few people other than

    Out of Scope

    People other than those who win major jackpots are not relevant to the argument.

    1% picked this

  3. If it were not for

    Too Strong

    The argument does not conclude that most people overestimate their chances of winning a jackpot.

    9% picked this

  4. Correct

    Becoming aware of individuals who

    Why this is right

    This bridges the gap between awareness and increasing one’s estimate of the likelihood of winning the jackpot.

    Skill tested: Necessary Assumption · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    75% picked this

  5. At least some people who

    Too Strong

    That some people believe their odds of winning are higher than is the case, does not mean that some people believe their odds of winning are significant. Significant is not defined and could mean many different things depending on who is asked.

    2% picked this

Continue the review in LSAT Lab

Save this question, watch the video walkthrough, and drill similar questions in your LSAT Lab account.

Save and practice this skill
LSAT Lab

Turn this review into a targeted study plan.

Save this question, drill more like it, watch the video walkthrough, and track your progress in your LSAT Lab account.

Start practicing free