The authorship of the Iliad and the Odyssey has long been debated.
Conclusion (ought)
We ought to accept the verdict of tradition that Homer is principal author of both works.
Evidence (since)
Some traditional evidence says Homer wrote at least large portions of both, but there's equally forceful evidence that Homer had nothing to do with either of them.
There's no overwhelming evidence for either claim.
Evaluate
The author is balancing tradeoffs ... some traditional evidence says Homer / equally good evidence says not-Homer.
There's no overwhelming evidence for either, so the author decides that "tie goes to tradition".
Goal
Look for something like,
If ... There isn't overwhelming evidence for one claim over another claim
Then ... go with the one that's the more traditional one