Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Hard

PT121 S1 Q22 Explanation

In a poll conducted by

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsParadox

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Stimulus

In a poll conducted by interviewing eligible voters in their homes just before the recent election, incumbent candidate Kenner was significantly ahead of won the recent election.

What this question is testing

Paradox

Your task

Break the argument into its conclusion and evidence, then do exactly what the question stem asks with that structure.

Common trap

Answers that sound relevant to the topic but don't connect to the argument's actual reasoning.

Winning move

Predict what a right answer must do, then test each choice against the conclusion-evidence gap.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
22.

Which one of the following, if true, most helps to resolve the apparent discrepancy described by

Answer choices

  1. No Impact1% picked this

    The positions taken by Muratori and Kenner on many election issues were not very similar

    Dissimilar to each other doesn't give either person an inherent advantage or disadvantage, so this doesn't help us explain anything about who's leading / who's winning.

  2. Unrelated to Goal1% picked this

    Kenner had held elected office for many years before the

    Kenner's past doesn't matter. We either need to know why the poll was inaccurate, or how things changed between the poll and the election such that leader in the poll didn't win the election.

  3. No Impact14% picked this

    In the year leading up to the election, Kenner was implicated in a series

    The poll was taken just before the election, so the people being polled had already experienced and processed the political scandals this answer choice is describing. The scandals were earlier in the year, so they were already being factored in to the respondents' minds when they responded.

  4. No Impact15% picked this

    Six months before the recent election, the voting age was lowered

    The poll was taken just before the election, so the people being polled (the pool of eligible voters) had already updated to the newly expanded electorate. The difference between the poll and election results can't be explained by something that happened six months before the poll / election.

  5. Correct69% picked this

    In the poll, supporters of Muratori were more likely than others to describe the

    Why this is right

    Several LSAT questions historically have validated a common sense connection between motivation / turnout / electoral success. People being asked in their home, "Who you like in this upcoming election" might include a lot of people who later flake out and forget to vote. If you only were getting 45% support in the polls but 90% of your supporters turned out to vote, you could easily beat the person getting 55% support in the polls with only 1/2 of their supporters showing up to vote. So this answer is trying to explain the gap between poll and election, based on a difference between how motivated the voters for M were. They didn't do as well in polls, but their supporters all made sure to vote because it was important to them. Is this one of the more strained, unfair, ridiculous "asks" of LSAC ... that we weave together the story I just told in order to make sense of this as a correct answer ... and that we do so based only on the puny strength of language that "supporters of M were more likely to say important"? Yes. You should be pretty mad at this answer, but then as the rage subsides, remind yourself that this game boils down to best available. Sometimes the best available on Strengthen, Weaken, and Paradox is shockingly thin. But it's more than nothin'.

    Skill tested: Paradox · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

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