Catmull: Although historians consider themselves to be social scientists, different historians never arrive at the same conclusions about specific events of the past.
Conclusion (Thus)
Historians never determine what actually happened. They just create interesting fictional stories about the many different problems that people have faced.
Evidence
Different historians never arrive at the same conclusion about specific events of the past.
Evaluate
We're ignoring the filler of an "although" counterpoint, as well as the unsupported throwaway of "like novelists" in the conclusion.
The argument is just making this move, "if different historians never arrive at the same conclusions about specific events, then that means that historians never determine what actually happened / they just make up stories.
Given that ... they arrive at different conclusions How could we argue that ... historians sometimes do determine what actually happened?
Isn't it possible that one of the historians is correct and all the others are wrong? If I ask a room full of 3rd graders a tough math question and none of them arrive at the same result, does that mean that all of them were wrong? Not necessarily. It's possible one of them was right.
Goal
I'd be anticipating an assumption answer like, , or looking for an objection idea like, .