There are two supposedly conflicting hypotheses as to what makes for great national leaders: one is that such leaders successfully shape public opinion, and the other is that they are adept at reacting to it.
Conclusion (evidently = opinion)
Treating these hypotheses as mutually exclusive is a mistake.
translation: there isn't any conflict between the idea that what makes for a great national leader is the ability to shape public opinion and the the idea that what makes for a great national leader is being adept at reacting to public opinion.
even more translation: what makes a great national leader is both the ability to shape public opinion and the ability to adeptly react to public opinion.
Evidence
All leaders who have had success getting their programs passed by the legislature have been good at shaping public opinion and good at reacting to public opinion.
Evaluate
The author's goal is to prove that both shaping and reacting to public opinion are key features of great national leaders.
Her evidence, then, should be showing us examples of great national leaders who shaped / reacted to public opinion. Or it should be defining the necessary qualities of a great national leader and showing how shaping / reacting to public opinion fits those qualities.
However, the author's evidence doesn't once mention "great national leaders". That's a huge New Concept in the Conclusion. It only mentions .
The author must be assuming some missing link between "leaders who successfully get their programs passed" and "great national leaders".
Goal
We could consider other issues with the argument (f.e. even if great national leaders have been good at both shaping and reacting to public opinion, that doesn't necessarily show that those talents are what made them a great national leader. There might also be great national leaders who are left-handed, but that wouldn't show that .
But since there's just a big missing link between what sort of leaders we're talking about in the evidence and what sort of leaders we're talking about in the conclusion "great national leaders", we should primarily look for that missing link.