Among North American school-age children, there is a strong positive correlation between obesity and the amount of television watched.
Conclusion (therefore)
With the arrival of interactive television, obesity among North American school-age children will increase.
Evidence
Among North American school-age children, there is a strong positive correlation between obesity and the amount of television watched.
Evaluate
Whenever we see a correlation presented in the evidence, X is correlated with Y ppl who are X are more likely to be Y ppl who are X tend to be Y we anticipate that the author will assume that X causes Y (or vice versa).
Here, there was a correlation between obesity and TV watching. Is the author assuming that one causes the other?
Yes, we can tell from her conclusion that she thinks that TV watching causes obesity, because she thinks the arrival of more TV will lead to more obesity.
Correlations are the most famous of all Curious Facts (asymmetric comparisons). We know that when author's state or assume a causal explanation for a curious fact, we're primarily supposed to ask ourselves about Alternate Explanations.
When an author sees that X and Y are correlated and starts acting like X causes Y, we're supposed to automatically think: 1. Could it be Reverse Cause (Y causes X)? 2. Could it be a 3rd Factor (Z causes X and Y)?
#1 would be saying .
#2 would be saying something like, .
However, there's also a New Concept in the Conclusion, this "interactive television", and the author is making a Prediction.
What if "interactive television" is meaningfully different from other television? Maybe kids won't like it, so they won't watch any additional TV as a result. Maybe the interactiveness will actually burn calories so it will combat obesity.
Goal
A correct answer could rule out an alternate explanation for the correlation.
Or it could rule out a possible objection that interactive TV will be unlike regular TV, in terms of school-age children watching lots of it and becoming obese.