Logical Reasoning

PT7 · S1 · Q1 Before the printing press, books

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Before the printing press, books could be purchased only in expensive manuscript copies.

Conclusion (this demonstrates that)

There was a dramatic jump in the number of people who learned how to read in the years after publishers first started producing books on the printing press.

Evidence

Before the printing press, books could only be purchased as expensive manuscript copies.

The printing press produced books significantly less expensive than manuscript editions.

The public's demand for printed books was many times greater than the demand for manuscript copies.

Evaluate

This argument hinges on a causal claim that the increased demand for printed books is due to a surge in literacy rates after the printing press was introduced.

CURIOUS FACT: why was there a dramatic jump in the demand for books, once printed copies became available?

EXPLANATION: way more people had learned how to read, and so there were more people than before who wanted to buy books.

We could weaken this argument by suggesting that the increased demand for books was not because more people learned to read, but perhaps because those who already could read simply bought more books due to their lower cost. This presents an Alternate Explanation for the increase in demand that doesn't involve a rise in literacy.

Goal

Let's find an answer that provides an alternate explanation for the increase in demand for printed books that does not rely on an increase in the number of people who learned how to read, or one that hurts the plausibility of the author's story (makes it seem like literacy did not go up).

1.

Which one of the following statements, if true, casts doubt on the argument?

  1. During the first years after

    Opposite Impact (strengthens)

    This makes the author's explanation more plausible, suggesting that literacy HAS spread (since people don't seem to need scribes or clerks as much to write a letter).

    2% picked this

  2. Books produced on the printing

    Strengthens (if anything)

    Since you have to be literate to write comments in the margin, if anything, this helps the plausibility of the author's story that literacy was on the rise.

    1% picked this

  3. Correct

    In the first years after

    Why this is right

    This choice suggests that the increase in demand for printed books was not because more people learned to read, but because existing readers who had previously bought expensive manuscripts could now buy more with the same amount of money. This provides an Alternate Explanation for the increased demand, thereby weakening the conclusion that it was due to a newfound ability to read among the general populace. When we see Explain Curious Fact arguments on Weaken (which is the most common type), the most common way to weaken is an Alternate Explanation for the curious fact.

    Skill tested: Weaken · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    90% picked this

  4. Books that were printed on

    Strengthens (if anything)

    If books circulated among friends, that suggests that all the friends who had temporary custody of the book were able to read it, which supports the plausibility of the author's notion that literacy had spread.

    2% picked this

  5. The first printed books published

    Strengthens

    This strengthens by ruling out an alternate explanation --- we could have said, "Sure more people are buying books now that they're cheaper, but that doesn't mean they can read! They're just buying them for the pictures." But this answer rules out that explanation.

    5% picked this

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