Logical Reasoning

PT6 · S2 · Q12 By dating fossils of pollen

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By dating fossils of pollen and beetles, which returned after an Ice Age glacier left an area, it is possible to establish an approximate date when a warmer climate developed.

Given that ...

The insect record shows that a warm climate developed immediately after the glacier melted.

Why is it that ...

The pollen evidence makes it seem like it took a long time after the glacier melted for the warm climate to come back?

Evaluate

Presumably, the way the insect/pollen records predict the return of a warmer climate is by thinking,

Goal

We need four storylines to explain why the beetle record and pollen record give us different approximations for this one glacial area. (we'll eliminate those four answers)

We could potentially resolve the paradox by making either the insect record or the pollen record be wrong/misleading, in this case.

We could also resolve it by making it seem like in the case of this glacial area, there's a reason that insects came back sooner than pollen.

12.

Each one of the following, if true, helps to explain the apparent discrepancy except:

  1. Cold-weather beetle fossils can be

    Resolves Paradox

    This allows us to say that the reason the insect / pollen predictions diverge is that the insect record prediction is misleading. If cold-weather beetles can be mistaken for warm-weather beetles, the insect record may falsely suggest warm climate appeared earlier than it actually did. The pollen record could then be the accurate one.

    8% picked this

  2. Warm-weather plants cannot establish themselves

    Resolves Paradox

    This explains the discrepancy by giving us a reason to think that insects come back before pollen does, which is why the insect record has evidence of an earlier warming date than the pollen record does. If beetles arrive in a new environment faster than warm-weather plants do, the insect record will register warm conditions before the pollen record does, even if both records are accurate.

    6% picked this

  3. Beetles can survive in a

    Resolves Paradox

    This is essentially a corollary of (B). This explains the discrepancy by giving us a reason to think that beetles come back before pollen does, which is why the beetle record has evidence of an earlier warming date than the pollen record does. Beetles could potentially predate the arrival of plants and plant-eating insects because they can scavenge If beetles arrive in a new environment faster than warm-weather plants do, the insect record will register warm conditions before the pollen record does, even if both records are accurate.

    9% picked this

  4. Since plants spread unevenly in

    Resolves Paradox

    This is the corollary to (A). This allows us to say that the reason the insect / pollen predictions diverge is that the pollen record prediction is misleading. If researchers can mistake a gap in the pollen record as evidence of no new growth, they might have seen such a gap this area and mistakenly thought there wasn't new growth yet. If the pollen record in this case doesn't realize just how early plants really did start re-growing in the post glacial area, then its later date of warming could be incorrect while the beetle record's date is correct.

    6% picked this

  5. Correct

    Beetles are among the oldest

    Why this is right

    The age of beetles as a species (vs. plant species) doesn't bear on whether either record is accurate or on the rate at which beetles vs. plants arrive in a specific postglacial area. There was an Ice Age 15,000 years ago. So we might be looking at a post-glacial area from 15,000 years ago and trying to figure out when it became warm again. The fact that beetles have been on Earth for over 500 million years while many warm climate plants have only been on Earth for 100 million years, isn't telling us anything about why we're getting differing warming estimates for this specific post-glacial area 15,000 years ago.

    Skill tested: Paradox · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    71% picked this

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