Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Easy

PT23 S2 Q20 Explanation

It has recently been found that

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsMust be True

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Stimulus

It has recently been found that job prospects for college graduates have never been better. The trend is likely to continue over the next decade. A recent survey found that most employers simply did not know that the number of students graduating would drop by 25 percent over the past ten years, mathematics and engineering, has dropped substantially. This trend is likely to continue over the next decade.

What this question is testing

Must be True

Your task

Break the argument into its conclusion and evidence, then do exactly what the question stem asks with that structure.

Common trap

Answers that sound relevant to the topic but don't connect to the argument's actual reasoning.

Winning move

Predict what a right answer must do, then test each choice against the conclusion-evidence gap.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
20.

Which one of the following can properly be concluded from the

Answer choices

  1. Opposite3% picked this

    Soon, more graduates are likely to be competing for

    This passage is predicting that there will be fewer graduates, more jobs looking to hire graduates.

  2. Correct85% picked this

    Soon, there is likely to be a shortage of graduates to

    Why this is right

    This was the gist of the whole paragraph. The reason job prospects are better than ever for graduates is that there are 25% less grads now than ten years ago, and over the next decade, there will likely be a substantial drop in the number of students trying to graduate with a degree in math or engineering (which are subjects in high demand). Employers will be trying to fill vacancies with students who have training in math and engineering, but there won't be nearly as many students graduating with those skill sets. Since supply of graduates currently meets demand, and since supply of students for subjects in high demand is going to drop substantially, it seems very likely that some job vacancies will find a shortage of eligible graduates to consider.

    Skill tested: Must be True · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  3. Unsupported: employers aware3% picked this

    Employers are aware of changing trends in subjects studied

    The paragraph only tells us about stuff employers were not aware of. We have no support for the idea that employers are aware of what the survey is saying in the 2nd to last sentence. It's certainly plausible that they may be aware of it, but we have nothing to point at in this paragraph to prove that's true.

  4. Out of Scope: fewer jobs7% picked this

    Soon, fewer graduates are likely to be competing for fewer

    Nothing in the passage supports the idea that there will be fewer available jobs. It would actually go against the passage to say that there are going to be fewer available jobs since we were told that "job prospects have never been better and that trend is likely to continue for the next 10 years".

  5. Out of Scope: well-informed2% picked this

    Employers who are well-informed about future trends have anticipated and planned

    The passage never discusses employers who are well-informed. We hear about most employers being oblivious (i.e. poorly informed) when it comes to the number of grads dropping by 25% and being oblivious to the idea that labor supply / demand might fall out of equilibrium. But we never hear about employers who do know this stuff. LSAT constantly tries to make us infer opposite qualities about opposite categories. For example, if we read: Janice is a librarian and loves to read they would write a trap answer like (A) People who are not librarians do not love to read

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