Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Medium

PT16 S2 Q21 Explanation

Several years ago, as a measure

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsStrengthen

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Stimulus

Several years ago, as a measure to reduce the population of gypsy moths, which depend on oak leaves for food, entomologists introduced into many oak forests a species of fungus that is poisonous to gypsy moth caterpillars. Since then, the population of both caterpillars and adult moths has significantly decline is attributable to the presence of the poisonous fungus.

What this question is testing

Strengthen

Your task

Find the choice that makes the argument's conclusion more likely to be true.

Common trap

Answers that are consistent with the argument but add no real support, or that strengthen a claim the argument doesn't make.

Winning move

Locate the gap between evidence and conclusion, then pick the choice that closes it.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
21.

Which one of the following, if true, most strongly supports the conclusion drawn

Answer choices

  1. Correct71% picked this

    A strain of gypsy moth whose caterpillars are unaffected by the fungus has increased its share of the

    Why this is right

    This gives us a classic "No Cause, No Effect" plausibility strengthener (the most common form of correct answer when we Strengthen an Explain Curious Fact argument). The author thought that the fungus was causing a decrease in gypsy moths. This answer shows that where there is no danger of the fungus (a strain that's unaffected by it), there is no decrease in gypsy moths (in fact, there's an increase!) To put it another way, "You can tell that the fungus is effective, because the only gypsy moths that are doing okay are the ones that have an immunity to the fungus."

    Skill tested: Strengthen · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  2. Unclear Impact16% picked this

    The fungus that was introduced to control the gypsy moth population is poisonous to few insect species other

    It doesn't really matter whether the fungus is a surgically specific killer of moth but not other insects, or whether the fungus is just a big ol' bomb that wipes out lots of insects too. The conclusion is just about whether the fungus is killing the moths, which could happen or not happen in either of those scenarios. We don't know whether other insects are / aren't also in decline. So we have no way to judge whether the actual decreases in insects are moth-specific or more generalized. If we knew that few other insect species in the moth's habitat have been experiencing a decrease since the fungus was introduced, then this answer would strengthen somewhat.

  3. Opposite (if anything)7% picked this

    An increase in numbers of both gypsy moth caterpillars and gypsy moth adults followed a drop in the number of some of the

    This answer is talking about how changes in predator population seem to influence changes in the moth population. If anything, that's giving us fodder for an alternate explanation of why the moths are in decline (maybe their predators are on the rise!).

  4. Opposite Impact2% picked this

    In the past several years, air pollution and acid rain have been responsible for a substantial decline

    This weakens because it suggests another potential cause for the decline: reduced oak populations due to air pollution and acid rain. If there are fewer oak leaves due to these factors, caterpillars might starve, offering another explanation and thus weakening the argument.

  5. Opposite Impact4% picked this

    The current decline in the gypsy moth population in forests where the fungus was introduced is no greater than a decline that

    This weakens the argument, because it hurts the plausibility that the fungus is the cause of the decrease in moths, because the decrease in moths is occurring to the same degree in places where there isn't fungus. (a classic Effect w/o Cause weakener)

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