Logical Reasoning

PT16 · S2 · Q18 Winston: The Public Transportation Authority

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Winston: The Public Transportation Authority (PTA) cannot fulfill its mandate to operate without a budget deficit unless it eliminates service during late‐night periods of low ridership.

Ping's Conclusion

Getting rid of nighttime service might be a net loss for PTA.

Evidence

The PTA would lose those riders who leave home during the day but must return late at night.

Evaluate

This is all about Net Gain / Loss. The PTA is currently losing money on their late hours. So if they got rid of those late hours, they'd save some money. But people who use the train to head into work in the morning and come home during those late hours, would presumably stop riding the train (if they could no longer use it to ride home).

So would the loss of those fares be more or less than the money the PTA would save by getting rid of the unprofitable late hours?

Goal

Let's find an answer that provides evidence of how many riders depend on late-night service and how significant their fares are in maintaining overall PTA revenues. It should support the idea that the revenue loss from discontinuing late-night service outweighs the cost savings.

18.

Which one of the following, if true, most strongly supports Ping’s conclusion?

  1. Correct

    Over 23 percent of the

    Why this is right

    This answer directly supports Ping's argument by providing a quantifiable measure of the number of riders affected by late-night service cuts. If over 23 percent of round trips involve late-night periods, this indicates a significant proportion of riders could potentially stop using the service due to the cuts, resulting in a substantial loss in fares.

    Skill tested: Strengthen · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    88% picked this

  2. Reliable survey results show that

    No Impact

    While it provides information about public opinion regarding service cuts, this does not directly impact the analysis of fare loss vs cost savings. Whether riders oppose the cuts doesn't change the financial dynamics Ping is addressing.

    6% picked this

  3. The last time the PTA

    No Impact

    The outcome of a past fare increase petition does not help us analyze the specific impact of cutting late-night services on the PTA's budget deficit.

    0% picked this

  4. The PTA ’s budget deficit

    No Impact

    Although this speaks to the general financial situation of the PTA, it doesn't specifically address whether late-night service cuts would be a net gain/loss in revenue compared to cost savings.

    2% picked this

  5. The PTA ’s bus drivers

    Opposite (if anything)

    The fact that drivers make a lot more during the late hours means that the city would save a lot of money by eliminating those hours. That goes against Ping's conclusion. He thinks loss in revenue will outweigh cost savings, but this answer makes cost savings sound big.

    3% picked this

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