If the proposed air pollution measures were to be implemented, ozone levels in the city's air would be one fifth lower than current levels. Since the ozone in our air is currently responsible for over $5 billion in health costs, we would spend health costs should the proposed measures be adopted.
What this question is testing
Conclusion
Cut ozone by a fifth, save a billion dollars. The argument does the division and calls it a day.
Evidence
Ozone costs us $5 billion in health problems. One-fifth of $5 billion is $1 billion. Calculator says so.
Evaluate
The argument treats the ozone-health relationship like a dimmer switch on a lamp: turn down the pollution 20% and the health bill dims by exactly 20%. But biology does not work like a dimmer switch. Maybe the first 80% of ozone is mostly harmless and the last 20% does all the damage — in which case, a one-fifth reduction saves nearly everything. Or maybe it is the other way around. It is like saying That is not how bodies, ecosystems, or anything complicated actually works. The argument did napkin math and called it epidemiology.
Goal
Find the answer that calls out the unjustified assumption of proportionality — the idea that cutting the cause by a fraction automatically cuts the effect by the same fraction.
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