Logical Reasoning

PT158 · S3 · Q10 Radioactive elements may have been created

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Radioactive elements may have been created when the universe began.

Conclusion (clearly = opinion)

Radioactive elements are still being created in the universe today (whether or not some of them were also created when the universe began).

Intermediate Conclusion (So)

If no new radioactive elements had been created after the universe began, almost no radioactive elements would be left in the universe today.

Evidence

Radioactive elements decay within at most a few million years into other, nonradioactive elements.

Yet there is still an abundance of radioactive elements today.

Evaluate

Whenever we do Main Conclusion and Role, we read the argument with a very unique reading protocol. After all, 90% of the time, on these two question types, the Main Conclusion comes earlier than the supporting ideas.

Specifically, the conclusion will usually be - the very first sentence - some pivot/rebuttal idea

This first sentence sounds tenuous, like maybe it could be an opinion we go on to support. But it also sounds factual and science-y, so the first sentence does not look too much like a conclusion.

The second sentence gives us the telltale pivot we anticipate in Main Conclusion / Role: however.

So we lean in ... aha! Is this pivot idea the conclusion?

The Opinion Indicator "clearly" is our huge hint that yes, this is the conclusion. All we need now to confirm is to see that the paragraph is trying to convince us that radioactive elements are still being created today.

And it does, via contrapositive logic. It says, Thus, there are new radioactive being created.

As always, on Main Conclusion, they are trying to trap students with Intermediate Conclusion, such as the "So" we see beginning the final sentence.

And they try to get students to pick the last sentence as the conclusion, even though the last claim is only the conclusion on about 10% of Main Conclusion questions.

Goal

Let's look for the best meaning match we can find for the 2nd sentence: .

10.

Which one of the following most accurately expresses the main conclusion of the argument?

  1. Any radioactive elements created when

    Unstated Inference

    While this statement is probably true based on the argument's premises, it is never stated in the stimulus and is not the argument's main conclusion. The argument's conclusion is that radioactive elements are currently being created. The idea that any original radioactive elements have "probably decayed" is an inference one might draw from the premises, but the argument itself does not make this specific claim. The main conclusion is about ongoing creation, not about the fate of the original elements. Additionally, as an unstated inference rather than a direct claim in the argument, this cannot be the main conclusion by definition — the main conclusion must be something the argument actually asserts.

    2% picked this

  2. Correct

    Radioactive elements are being created

    Why this is right

    This is the argument's main conclusion, stated in the second sentence: "these elements are clearly still being created in the universe today." The word "clearly" signals the author's confident assertion — the claim the argument is designed to prove. Everything that follows serves this conclusion: radioactive elements are unstable (premise), they decay within millions of years (premise), if none were created after the beginning, almost none would remain (intermediate conclusion), but there is an abundance of them (factual observation). The instability, the decay timeline, the counterfactual scenario, and the abundance observation all converge as support for this single claim. This answer captures it accurately: radioactive elements are being created in the universe today.

    Skill tested: Main Conclusion · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    79% picked this

  3. If no new radioactive elements

    Intermediate Conclusion

    This is an intermediate conclusion — a claim that supports the main conclusion while being supported by other premises. It appears near the end of the argument and functions as part of the logical chain: if no new radioactive elements were created, almost none would remain. But this conditional statement, combined with the observation that plenty exist, is the evidence that proves the main conclusion (that new elements are being created). It is also a common "last-claim trap" — appearing at the end of the stimulus, it can be mistaken for the main conclusion simply because of its position. But in this argument, the main conclusion appears earlier, and this statement serves it as a penultimate step in the reasoning chain. The test is always: does this claim support something else, or is it the final destination? This claim supports the "clearly still being created" conclusion.

    14% picked this

  4. It is possible that radioactive

    Background

    The opening statement that radioactive elements "may have been created when the universe began" is background information — it introduces the topic and sets up the argument but is not the argument's conclusion. The word "may" indicates this is a concession or possibility being acknowledged, not an assertive claim. The argument immediately pivots with "however" and "even if this occurred" to state its main conclusion: these elements are clearly still being created today. The background concession establishes what is already known or plausible; the conclusion is the new claim the argument advances beyond that background. This statement is the starting point of the discussion, not its destination.

    3% picked this

  5. Due to their instability, most

    Premise

    This is a factual premise that provides one piece of the evidentiary chain. The instability and decay rate of radioactive elements is presented as a scientific fact that supports the main conclusion. The argument's reasoning goes: elements decay quickly (this premise) -> if no new ones were made, none would remain (intermediate conclusion) -> but many exist (observation) -> therefore new ones are being created (main conclusion). A premise is a building block offered in support of a conclusion; it is not the conclusion itself. This statement is one of the foundation stones, not the structure built on top of them. The fact that it states an important scientific reality does not change its argumentative role as evidence rather than conclusion.

    1% picked this

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