Logical Reasoning

PT155 · S1 · Q24 Editorial: Last year, many polls found

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Editorial: Last year, many polls found that most people in our country claimed to be tired of television news programs' obsession with celebrity scandals and to be unwilling to watch such programs.

Conclusion (This indicates that)

When responding to polls, whether they know it or not, people often portray themselves as they wish to be perceived, not how they actually are.

Evidence

Last year, in polls, people would say that they were sick of tabloid TV shows, but the ratings of those shows were still super high.

Evaluate

The author is interpreting the meaning behind a study/poll, so we could use an Explain Curious Fact mindset.

Curious Fact … How can it be that tabloid TV has soaring ratings, given that polls say people don’t like tabloid TV and are unwilling to watch it?

Author’s Explanation … It’s because people responded to those polls the way they want to be seen, not the way they really are. They want to be seen as someone who is above watching trashy tabloid TV. But in reality these people go home and watch the tabloid shows.

Goal

Since this is Necessary Assumption, the correct answer could Rule Out an alternate explanation for why there’s a gap between the poll and the tv ratings.

Or it could spell out something required for the author’s explanation to be plausible.

24.

Which one of the following is an assumption that the argument in the editorial requires?

  1. Last year, everyone in the

    Too Strong: everyone

    The results of many polls are that “most people claim to be X and Y” (tired of tabloids and unwilling to watch them). Does that mean that everyone who claimed to be tired of them also claimed to be unwilling to watch them? No, we know that most people claimed they were both, but it’s perfectly compatible for some people to have claimed to be tired of them but still willing to watch them.

    3% picked this

  2. Last year, almost everyone in

    Too Strong: almost everyone

    The author’s argument is definitely assuming that some of the people claiming to be unwilling to watch these tabloid shows are in reality still watching them. But does the author need to assume that almost everyone who claims they’re unwilling to watch them is still watching them? No. “Almost everyone” doesn’t have a precise minimum threshold, but we could imagine 90% feeling like almost everyone. Does the author need to assume that 90% of those who claimed they were unwilling to watch were still watching? No. The author’s argument would be fine even if 50% of the people who claimed they were unwilling to watch were still watching. She doesn’t need total hypocrisy for her argument to work. She just needs frequent / often / common hypocrisy. Her conclusion is only promising that people often portray themselves as they wish to be perceived, rather than as how they are. So as long as a decent chunk of the people who claimed to be unwilling to watch are still watching, she can still point to them and say, “See? These people portray themselves as they wish to be seen, not as they are. That’s something people often do.”

    30% picked this

  3. Last year, at least some

    Out of Scope: believe

    The intended thrust of the author’s conclusion was that in the poll, many people were portraying themselves as they wish to be perceived (someone who is above watching trashy tabloid tv) rather than as they are (someone who still does watch tabloid shows). This answer is going for that — some people’s responses did not portray them as they really are. But it adds in the concept of whether or not the people believed they were portraying themselves honestly. The author actually wipes that distinction away as a concern in her conclusion. She isn’t committing to the idea of whether this phenomenon of portraying how you want to look rather than how you are is conscious or unconscious, saying “Whether or not they are aware of it”. So she hasn’t committed one way or the other to the idea of whether or not the people actually believe they’re telling the truth, believe they’re lying, or are lying about themselves in an oblivious way.

    10% picked this

  4. Last year, none of the

    Too Strong: none

    You really don’t have to read past the word ‘none’ here. The author was having a general conversation with soft edges, like “most / often”. There’s no reason the author needs to assume 0% about anything. If we negated this and said, “Hey, author — at least one person responded to the poll in a way that portrayed how they actually are”, it wouldn’t hurt the argument. She never said ALL people portray themselves differently; she only said people often do.

    5% picked this

  5. Correct

    Last year, at least some

    Why this is right

    This is providing safe Linking language that connects the author’s conclusion to the survey results. Our author is insinuating that people portrayed themselves in the poll how they wish to be perceived, and they portrayed themselves as being people who are tired of tabloid shows and unwilling to watch them. So the author is assuming that some people wished to be perceived as unwilling to watch these shows. The idea of “how they wish to be perceived” is never discussed or defined in the evidence. It only shows up in the conclusion, and we know that when a New Term only appears in the conclusion (on Assumption questions) we’re extremely likely to see that New Term in the correct answer. In the parlance of Explain Curious Fact, this answer is providing something that needs to be true for the Author's Explanation of the curious fact to be plausible.

    Skill tested: Necessary Assumption · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    52% picked this

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