Logical Reasoning

PT149 · S1 · Q17 Discharges of lightning

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Discharges of lightning from a volcanic ash cloud occur only when the cloud’s highest point exceeds an altitude of 5 kilometers.

Conclusion (hence)

Lightning discharge data can sometimes be our only reliable indicator of the altitude of ash clouds.

Evidence

Weather radar can measure the altitude of ash clouds, but it is not available in all parts of the world.

Lightning discharges from an ash cloud can happen once the top of the cloud passes an altitude of 5 km.

Evaluate

The conclusion has some really strong wording, "our only reliable indicator". Why can't we use anything but lightning discharge data to measure the altitude of ash clouds sometimes?

The only thing close to a reason we heard was that weather radar isn't available in all parts of the world.

Okay, then we're assuming a few things - lightning discharge data is available in those parts of the world - lightning discharge data is a reliable indicator of altitude (even though it can't measure anything until the ash cloud gets at least 5km high) - no other method is available to measure the altitude of ash clouds (in those areas where weather radar isn't available)

Goal

Look for one of our anticipated assumptions, or pick an any answer that, if negated, would badly weaken the argument.

17.

Which one of the following is an assumption required by the argument?

  1. The highest point of any

    Too Strong: any

    The author doesn't need to believe that all ash clouds exceed 5 km. They need to exceed that height in order for lightning discharge data to be a viable method of collecting data (since lightning doesn't start discharging until that height). But the author doesn't need to believe that lightning discharge data is always a viable method. He's only claiming that it's sometimes the only viable method. So he just has to assume that, "sometimes when weather radar (and any other means) is not available to measure ash cloud altitude, that ash cloud will exceed an altitude of 5 km".

    6% picked this

  2. Correct

    Lightning discharges can be detected

    Why this is right

    The author's argument boils down to this: "Sometimes lightning discharge data is our only source of data, because weather radar isn't available in all parts of the world." That is assuming that in some of those spots where weather radar isn't an option, lightning discharge data is. If we negated this, it would be saying "There is nowhere in the world where weather radar is unavailable yet lightning discharges can be detected". That negation totally kills the author's conclusion, so we know this answer needed to be assumed (the negation only needs to weaken the argument to be a correct answer, but the stronger the weakening the better).

    Skill tested: Necessary Assumption · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    83% picked this

  3. Weather radar is no less

    Out of Scope: regular clouds

    Nothing in this argument has anything to do with measuring the altitude of regular clouds. The author isn't assuming anything about how weather radar's accuracy compares in different situations.

    3% picked this

  4. A volcanic ash cloud whose

    Too Strong: likely

    There's no reason the author needs to assume that most ash clouds that exceed 5 km are at least partly beyond the reach of weather radar. The conclusion is only saying that sometimes lightning discharge data is our only chance at measuring altitude. The author needs to assume that some ash clouds that are beyond the reach of weather radar exceed 5 km (in order to believe that when weather radar is out of reach, lightning discharge data would potentially be an option).

    6% picked this

  5. Lightning discharges are no more

    Out of Scope Comparison

    The argument is never talking about small vs. large clouds, so the author hasn't made any assumptions about that sort of comparison. We know that lightning discharges become more frequent the higher the ash cloud moves above 5 km, but that's the height of the cloud, not the size. If we were equating height with size, then we'd say the author's argument more or less contradicts this answer, since the higher ones have more frequent discharges.

    2% picked this

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