Most people who have a genetic predisposition to Parkinson’s disease have no more iron in their diets than
Why this is right
This rules out an alternate explanation. Whenever we're presented with a correlation between X and Y, and the author concludes that X causes Y, we'll come back at him with two classic Alternate Explanations: - what if Y causes X (reverse causality) - what if Z is the reason Y and X are correlated (third factor) In this argument, reverse causality would be nonsense, because "more likely to develop" Parkinson's implies that Parkinson's came later. We can't argue that Parkinson's came first and it led to a higher iron diet. But we can still argue that some third factor is causing the higher Parkinson's risk, and it's either causing or correlated with higher iron diet, which is why there appears to be a correlation between Parkinson's and high iron. Having a lot of money could simultaneously cause you to eat caviar and play golf. If we cited a correlation that "people who play golf are more likely than those who don't to eat caviar", we wouldn't want to assume that playing golf is what's causing you to eat caviar. Similarly, a certain genetic profile might lead to both higher risk of developing Parkinson's as well as some form of anemia (iron-deprivation). That sort of person would both have to eat a high iron diet and be at high risk of developing Parkinson's. Thus, there would be a correlation between high iron and higher rate of Parkinson's, even though neither one is causing the other. When a Strengthen answer is ruling out an alternate cause, it's "controlling" for some other variable, so we frequently hear the language were no more likely to or something equalizing like that. If people with a genetic bent towards Parkinson's are no more likely to have a high iron diet, then it rules out the possibility that high iron is just a coincidental factor that's "riding on the coattails" of the real causal factor ... genetic predisposition.
Skill tested: Strengthen · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.