Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Medium

PT146 S2 Q13 Explanation

A six-month public health

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Stimulus

A six-month public health campaign sought to limit the spread of influenza by encouraging people to take precautions such as washing their hands frequently and avoiding public places when they experience influenza symptoms. Since the incidence of influenza was had predicted, the public evidently heeded the campaign.

What this question is testing

Strengthen

Your task

Find the choice that makes the argument's conclusion more likely to be true.

Common trap

Answers that are consistent with the argument but add no real support, or that strengthen a claim the argument doesn't make.

Winning move

Locate the gap between evidence and conclusion, then pick the choice that closes it.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
13.

Which one of the following, if true, most strengthens

Answer choices

  1. Correct78% picked this

    The incidence of food-borne illnesses, which can be effectively controlled by frequent hand washing, was markedly lower than

    Why this is right

    This adds plausibility to the story that people were washing their hands / staying home when sick more than usual. If they were washing their hands more than usual, then we would expect to see other things connected to hand-washing (such as food-borne illnesses) affected. This answer corroborates that rates of food-borne illnesses were very different during this six-months. Another correct answer performing the same function could have said, "Sales of hand moisturizers, which are usually used when people are frequently washing their hands, was markedly higher than usual during the six-month period".

    Skill tested: Strengthen · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  2. Weakens, if anything3% picked this

    During the six-month period, the incidence of the common cold, which has many of the same symptoms as influenza, was

    If people were really heeding this campaign's advice, they would stay home when they thought they might have the flu. But since the cold has many of the same symptoms, there would be a lot people staying home with a cold (thinking they are staying home with the flu). If people were increasingly staying home when they had a cold, then transmission of colds should be lower than usual. But this answer is saying transmission of colds was just as high as ever. So that somewhat weakens the plausibility of the story that people heeded this campaign and stayed home when they experienced cold/flu symptoms.

  3. Weakens12% picked this

    There were fewer large public gatherings than usual during the

    This provides an Alternate Explanation for why the rate of flu was lower than usual. It wasn't because people heeded the advice of this public health campaign. There just weren't as many super-spreader events as there typically would be during a flu season.

  4. Weakens4% picked this

    Independently of the public health campaign, the news media spread the message that one's risk of contracting influenza can be

    This provides an Alternate Explanation for why the rate of flu was lower than usual. It wasn't because people heeded the advice of this public health campaign. It was because they heeded the advice of their preferred news media (cable news / newspapers / twitter / etc.).

  5. Weaker than Correct Answer3% picked this

    In a survey completed before the campaign began, many people admitted that they should do more to limit

    This somewhat strengthens the plausibility of the author's story, because it demonstrates that there were many people who were potentially willing to do more to limit the spread of the flu. We don't know specifically whether they were willing to wash their hands more or to more often stay home when feeling sick. So, the connection to the campaign's specific actions is very weak. And the quantifier many is not impressive. If there were even 10 people on this survey who said they should do more, we can say "many people said they'd do more".

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