Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Hard

PT144 S4 Q13 Explanation

Government statistics show that

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsFlaw

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Stimulus

Government statistics show that the real (adjusted for inflation) average income for families has risen over the last five years. Therefore, since this year the Andersen family's income is average for families, increased over the last five years.

What this question is testing

Flaw

Your task

Describe the reasoning error the argument actually commits.

Common trap

Answers that name a real logical flaw the argument doesn't actually make.

Winning move

Articulate the gap in the reasoning yourself, then match it to the choice that describes that gap.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
13.

The reasoning in the argument is most vulnerable to criticism on the grounds

Answer choices

  1. Not Equivocation19% picked this

    ambiguously uses the term "average" in two

    This answer alludes to the famous Equivocation flaw, in which the same term is used two different times to mean two very different things. (This answer is almost always wrong). The two usages of 'average' in this argument are comparable. They're both talking about the "average income for a family". The first instance is saying, for the past five years that number has risen. The second instance is saying, the Anderson family's income currently matches that number.

  2. Contradicted5% picked this

    fails to take into account inflation with respect to the Andersen

    It does not fail to take into account inflation. It says that the Andersen family's real income must have increased, and "real income" is adjusted for inflation.

  3. Not an Objection3% picked this

    overlooks the possibility that most families' incomes are

    Since this begins with fails to consider / overlooks the possibility, we can ask ourselves whether the idea that follows weakens. Can we object to the argument by saying, "Hey, author -- most families' incomes are below average"? No. We are explicitly told that the Anderson family's income is not below average; it is average. We're not trying to argue that their income isn't average. We're trying to object by arguing that their income hasn't increased over the last five years.

  4. Correct72% picked this

    fails to consider the possibility that the Andersen family's real income was above average in

    Why this is right

    Since this begins with fails to consider / overlooks the possibility, we can ask ourselves whether the idea that follows weakens. Can we object to the argument by saying, "Hey, author -- the Andersen family's real income was above average in the recent past"? Sure! If their income was recently above average, and now it's just average, then it sounds like the family's real income has recently declined. That goes strongly against the conclusion that "their income must have increased over the last five years".

    Skill tested: Flaw · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  5. Not Assumed / Too Strong: no errors1% picked this

    presumes, without providing justification, that the government makes no errors in gathering accurate estimates

    Since this begins with presumes / takes for granted, we can ask ourselves whether the idea that follows was something the argument needed to assume. The argument definitely wasn't assuming that the government is 100% perfect in gathering accurate estimates of family income. Even if they are only 99% accurate, this argument would make just as much sense.

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