Logical Reasoning

PT144 · S2 · Q20 Professor: The number of new

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Professor: The number of new university students who enter as chemistry majors has not changed in the last ten years, and job prospects for graduates with chemistry degrees are better than ever.

Given that ...

The same number of new university students enter as chemistry majors.

and that ...

Job prospects for graduates with chemistry degrees are better than ever.

How can it be that ...

Over the past ten years, there's been a significant decline in the number of people earning chemistry degrees.

Evaluate / Goal

We're trying to explain why fewer people are earning chemistry degrees, and the sensitive time period is over the past decade.

So we need something that has changed in the past ten years that would be a force working against people earning a chemistry degree.

And since the number of students entering college as chemistry majors is the same, this change has to be effecting students while they're at college (but it probably can't be related to job prospects, since they have every reason to think if they finish their chemistry studies and get a degree, they have a good shot at a job).

20.

Which one of the following, if true, most helps to explain the decline?

  1. Many students enter universities without

    No Distinction

    This answer doesn't talk about anything that's changed in the past ten years, so it can't possibly help us explain something that's changed in the past ten years. Also, this is talking about students who don't enter as a chemistry major, because they lack the requisite academic background. We, meanwhile, are trying to explain why people who are entering as chemistry majors aren't making it out with chemistry degrees.

    7% picked this

  2. There has been a significant

    No Impact

    This just tells us that there is also a reduction in the number of people earning degrees in other fields of science too. But why?

    12% picked this

  3. Many students are very unsure

    No Distinction

    This answer doesn't talk about anything that's changed in the past ten years, so it can't possibly help us explain something that's changed in the past ten years. Students were very unsure of their choice 10 years ago, too. Unless students have become more unsure about their first major, over the past 10 years, we can't use this to explain a difference.

    22% picked this

  4. Job prospects for graduates with

    No Impact / Cheats the Background

    This comparison is saying that chemistry jobs look to be just as juicy, or less, than are jobs you could get with other science degrees. If we took "job prospects are no better" to mean "job prospects for people chemistry degrees are worse", we would already be adding something to the answer that isn't there. But, even forgiving that, we would start telling ourselves this story: Oh, that's why there are fewer chemistry degrees -- because job prospects for chemistry degrees are worse than for other degrees, so I guess they switched majors to those more lucrative fields. This would still be a really weak storyline, because one of the background constraints was that job prospects for chemistry degrees are better than ever.

    6% picked this

  5. Correct

    Over the years, first-year chemistry

    Why this is right

    "Over the years" gives a time dimension to this, so it offers us a change between now and 10+ years ago. We have the same number of students entering as chemistry majors, but since first-year chemistry has become increasingly taught in a way that dampens its appeal, we can understand why more chemistry majors end up switching majors and thus why fewer students end up earning a chemistry degree.

    Skill tested: Paradox · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    53% picked this

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