Chemical-company employee: A conservation group's study of the pollutants released into the environment by 30 small chemical companies reveals that our company and four other companies together account for 60 percent of the total.
Conclusion (Clearly)
Our company releases more pollutants than most chemical companies similar to us in size.
Evidence
According to a study of 30 small chemical companies, our company and four other companies together account for 60% of the total pollutants.
Evaluate
There are two separate issues we should think through:
1. Does the evidence show that this company releases more pollutants than do most chemical companies in the study?
2. If so, it is fair to extrapolate from this study to "most chemical companies of a similar size"?
When it comes to #1, Given that ... our company and four others together account for 60% of the pollutants released by the 30 companies in the study (the other 25 companies combine to account for 40% of the pollutants),
How could we still argue that ... our company does not release more pollutants than do most chemical companies in the study?
Let's say that 100 tons of pollutants were released. And here's the list of who did what: Company A -- 25 tons Company B -- 20 tons Company C -- 15 tons Company D -- 8.9 tons Company E -- 1.1 tons Company F -- 1 ton Company G -- 1 ton Company H -- 1 ton etc.
Suppose that our company is Company E. If we add up our company with companies A thru D, then we'll get 60 out of the 100 tons of pollutants, or 60%.
But does that mean that Company E releases more pollutants than most companies our size?
No, it might be that the Top 4 are polluting juggernauts and we are very ordinary.
It's like if you were thrown on an NBA All-Star Team. You and the other four players on your team would collectively score 150 points, but that doesn't mean that you contributed your 30 point share. Maybe the rest of your teammates all had around 40 points and you had 1 or 2 points.
This argument is saying that . Thus, each of those five companies accounts for more pollutants than most companies. It's almost like a Whole to Part flaw, where the author fails to consider that the five companies might contribute very unevenly to that total.
Goal
We either want an answer that rules out the possibility that the other four companies are responsible for like 59% of that 60% and we're just contributing around 1%.
Or we want an answer relating to the sampling move from .