The more prone a jogger is to jogging injuries, the more likely he or she is to develop the habit
Why this is right
This allows us to point to a meaningful difference between the two groups: the stretching group was more prone to jogging injuries than the non-stretching group. If we re-read the wording of the study, it doesn't say that the experimenters took a large group of similar people and randomly assigned some to the stretching group and some to the non-stretching group. It allows for the possibility that the stretching group was self-selecting. This answer is helping us argue that "the stretching group was full of people who already knew they were prone to jogging injuries (the older or more frail or previously injured folks)". Imagine you saw a game of full-court basketball between some 40 year old dads and their 20 year old kids. The 40 year olds would all stretch, knowing they have gimpy backs and trick-knees, and such. The 20 year olds wouldn't bother stretching; their bodies still feel invincible. If the 40 year olds ended up incurring the same number of injuries as the 20 year olds, that would be a big win for the 40 year olds (who should be way more prone to injuries). That would suggest that stretching helped them. Similarly, if stretching before jogging is making these injury-prone joggers end up with the same number of injuries as the non-stretching healthier joggers, that's a win for stretching.
Skill tested: Weaken · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.