Physician: The rise in blood pressure that commonly accompanies aging often results from a calcium deficiency.
Conclusion
Some older people can lower their blood pressure by drinking milk.
Evidence
When people get older, it's common for them to get a calcium deficiency, which is caused by a lack of the active form of vitamin D that the body needs and which leads to a rise in blood pressure.
One glass of milk per day can make up for a calcium deficiency.
Evaluate
This is a causal mouthful. The overall causal chain that ends in higher blood pressure goes like this:
1. not enough active form of vitamin D 2. body isn't absorbing calcium 3. calcium deficiency causes rise in blood pressure
How does our hero milk enter the story?
Milk makes up for any underlying calcium deficiency.
I have two questions, as I try to remain skeptical of the idea that milk can help older people lower their blood pressure...
1. Does milk provide the "active form of vitamin D" needed for body to absorb calcium?
2. Even if we say milk is making up for the underlying calcium deficiency, that would prevent a rise in blood pressure from calcium deficiency, but would it trigger a lowering of blood pressure?
Goal
Since this is sufficient assumption, one of my two worries is apparently wrong (in LSAT's mind). There's only one missing vulnerability here, but I can't figure out which one they want to address.
It isn't clearly established that milk provides , and it seems like we're prescribing milk as a solution for that specific ailment.
But it also isn't clear to me that we take this causality backwards the way the conclusion is doing. I can understand how not enough milk could lead to a rise in blood pressure, but am I allowed to say that more milk would lead to a lowering of blood pressure?