Reading ComprehensionDifficulty: Easy

PT126 S2 P4 Q26 Explanation

Speculative Bubble and Tulip Prices

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Reading Comprehension question.

TopicsParagraph PurposeSociety

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Passage

In economics, the term "speculative bubble" refers to a large upward move in an asset's price driven not by the asset's fundamentals—that is, by the earnings derivable from the asset—but rather by mere speculation that someone else will be willing to pay a higher price for it. The price increase is then arguing that there is no evidence that the Dutch tulip market really involved a speculative bubble.

By the seventeenth century, the Netherlands had become a center of cultivation and development of new tulip varieties, and a market had developed in which rare varieties of bulbs sold at high prices. For example, a Semper Augustus bulb sold in 1625 for an amount of gold worth about U.S.$11,000 in 1999. had fallen to no more than one two-hundredth of 1 percent of Semper Augustus's peak price.

Garber acknowledges that bulb prices increased dramatically from 1636 to 1637 and eventually reached very low levels. But he argues that this episode should not be described as a speculative bubble, for the increase and eventual decline in bulb prices can be explained in terms of the fundamentals. Garber argues that a a rapid rise and eventual fall of tulip bulb prices need not indicate a speculative bubble.

What this question is testing

Paragraph Purpose

Your task

Pin down exactly what the question asks about the passage — a detail, the author's view, the structure, or the main point — before looking at the choices.

Common trap

Answers that restate a true detail from the passage but don't answer the specific question being asked.

Winning move

Anticipate the answer in your own words from the passage, then find the choice that matches that prediction.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
26.

The main purpose of the second paragraph

Answer choices

  1. Unsupported / Too Strong: all experts4% picked this

    present the facts that are accepted by all experts in

    The first three claims in the paragraph are not attributed to any particular individual. Neither is the last claim. So, if you just skimmed the first and last lines, A could be a tempting choice. But the fourth and fifth claims in the paragraph are attributed to Mackay alone. That makes the idea that they're accepted by all experts in the field unsupported.

  2. Wrong Role2% picked this

    identify the mistake that one scholar alleges another

    This is the role of the 3rd paragraph, not the 2nd.

  3. Correct89% picked this

    explain the basis on which one scholar makes an inference with which

    Why this is right

    Paragraph 2 describes Mackay's position. This includes the facts that led Mackay to infer that the Dutch tulip market was a speculative bubble. Those facts are the basis on which he made his inference: the inference with which Garber ultimately disagrees.

    Skill tested: Paragraph Purpose · how this choice captures the passage's function is the move to repeat next time.

  4. Wrong Role3% picked this

    undermine the case that one scholar makes for the claim with which

    Nobody is undermining in paragraph 2. The undermining begins in paragraph 3.

  5. Contradicted: factual errors2% picked this

    outline the factual errors that led one scholar to draw the inference

    Paragraph 2 does outline the facts that led Macky to draw the inference that he did. And since Garber disputes Mackay's inference, it's tempting to think that these facts were erroneous. But whenever we see a rebuttal on the LSAT, we need to ask ourselves "what piece of speaker 1's argument is speaker 2 disputing?" The first line of paragraph 3 tells us that Garber accepts the factual premises of Mackay's argument. What he disputes is the causal explanation Mackay infers from those facts.

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