Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Hard

PT124 S2 Q17 Explanation

Reporter: A team of scientists

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsNecessary Assumption

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Full official LSAT questions are available through LawHub. This page provides LSAT Lab's explanation, strategy, and review tools without republishing the full official question.

Stimulus

Reporter: A team of scientists has recently devised a new test that for the first time accurately diagnoses autism in children as young as 18 months old. When used to evaluate 16,000 children at their 18-month checkup, the test correctly diagnosed all 10 children later confirmed to be autistic, though it also benefit much earlier in life than before from the treatments already available.

What this question is testing

Necessary Assumption

The Argument

A new test catches all 10 truly autistic children in a group of 16,000, but it also flags 2 children who turn out not to be autistic. The reporter concludes children with autism can now benefit earlier from treatment.

Evaluate

For that conclusion to follow, the test has to actually be used as a basis for starting treatment. But the test makes mistakes — 2 false positives. Would those mistakes derail the case for using the test? Only if we assume that a test with some false positives can still reasonably guide treatment decisions.

If false positives made the test useless for treatment, the conclusion collapses (no one gets early treatment because no one trusts the result).

Goal

The right answer should say a test that sometimes falsely diagnoses can still reasonably guide treatment.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
17.

Which one of the following is an assumption on which the reporter’s

Answer choices

  1. Out of Scope13% picked this

    No test intended for diagnosing autism at such an early age existed before the new

    The argument is about whether autistic children can now benefit earlier from treatment. Whether other early-diagnosis tests existed before is irrelevant. Negate this answer (some other test existed before) and the conclusion still follows — children can still benefit earlier with the new test.

  2. Correct67% picked this

    A diagnostic test that sometimes falsely gives a positive diagnosis can still provide a reasonable

    Why this is right

    This is the assumption the argument needs. The test produces some false positives — 2 children flagged who are not autistic. For the conclusion (autistic children can benefit earlier from treatment) to follow, the false positives must not undermine using the test to guide treatment. Negate this answer — "a test with false positives cannot be a reasonable basis for treatment decisions" — and the conclusion collapses, because no one would treat based on this test. The argument depends on this.

    Skill tested: Necessary Assumption · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  3. Bad Assumption2% picked this

    The new test can be used to evaluate all children, regardless of the level of development

    The argument does not need the test to work for all children regardless of verbal skills. The study already showed it caught 10 out of 10 autistic children in a sample of 16,000 — strong evidence the test works in practice. Negate this answer (the test does not work on all children regardless of verbal skills) and the conclusion still holds: the test still allowed those 10 (and presumably future similar children) to be diagnosed and treated earlier.

  4. Bad Assumption16% picked this

    Those children incorrectly identified as autistic will not be adversely affected by treatments aimed at

    The conclusion is about autistic children benefiting from earlier treatment. Whether the misidentified children will be unaffected by autism treatments is not required for the conclusion to hold. Negate this answer (misidentified children will be adversely affected) and the original conclusion still works for the actually autistic children — the question of harm to false positives is a separate concern from whether autistic children benefit. The argument does not depend on this.

  5. Out of Scope2% picked this

    There was no reliable evidence that autism could affect children so young until the advent

    The argument concludes autistic children can now benefit earlier — it does not need the claim that no prior evidence existed about autism in children this young. The conclusion is forward-looking; the historical claim about prior evidence is not necessary. Negate this and the argument is unaffected.

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