Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Hard

PT123 S2 Q21 Explanation

Driver: My friends say I will

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsFlaw

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Stimulus

Driver: My friends say I will one day have an accident because I drive my sports car recklessly. But I have done some research, and apparently minivans and larger sedans have very low accident rates compared to sports cars. So trading would lower my risk of having an accident.

What this question is testing

Flaw

Your task

Describe the reasoning error the argument actually commits.

Common trap

Answers that name a real logical flaw the argument doesn't actually make.

Winning move

Articulate the gap in the reasoning yourself, then match it to the choice that describes that gap.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
21.

The reasoning in the driver’s argument is most vulnerable to criticism on the grounds

Answer choices

  1. Correct61% picked this

    infers a cause from a mere

    Why this is right

    The evidence involves a correlation between minivans and lower accident rates. And the conclusion assumes that the minivan itself is causing the lower accident rate (when the correlation could be explained different ways -- maybe the correlation is based on a Third Factor, like who is driving this car .... perhaps parents of young children are more likely to buy minivans and more likely to drive them cautiously, whereas people with aggressive / reckless personalities are more likely to buy sports cars and to drive them recklessly). The conclusion does contain a causal verb, "lower", so the author is saying that the minivan itself would lower his risk of having an accident.

    Skill tested: Flaw · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  2. Bad Evidence Match2% picked this

    relies on a sample that is

    This answer alludes to one of the 10 Famous Flaws (Sampling), but there is no reason to believe the research conducted by the driver is too narrow.

  3. Bad Evidence Match16% picked this

    misinterprets evidence that a result is likely as evidence that the

    This alludes to a semi-Famous Flaw we might call Possible/Likely vs. Certain. The conclusion does feel certain of itself, "driving a minivan WOULD lower my risk of accident". Did the evidence say that "driving a minivan would likely lower the risk of accident"? No, the evidence is just a correlation saying minivans and large sedans have lower accident rates.

  4. Bad Evidence Match20% picked this

    mistakes a condition sufficient for bringing about a result for a condition necessary

    This answer alludes to one of the 10 Famous Flaws (Nec vs. Suff), in which the author presents a conditional logic relationship in the evidence and then reasons via an illegal negation or reversal. But there is no conditional logic relationship in the evidence. Just a correlation.

  5. Bad Evidence Match2% picked this

    relies on a source that is probably

    This answer alludes to one of the 10 Famous Flaws (Inappropriate Appeals), in which the argument's evidence is leaning on the testimony of someone who is not shown to be qualified to weigh in on the matter at hand. But the only source relied on is "some research", and we have no reason to think that the sources the author researched are probably not well-informed.

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