Logical Reasoning

PT122 · S4 · Q8 One good clue as to which

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One good clue as to which geographical regions an ancient relic was moved through in the past involves the analysis of pollen that clings to the surface of the relic.

Goal of Method

Figuring out which geographical region an ancient relic was moved through in the past.

Method

Look at the pollen clinging to the surface of the relic. We can trace that pollen back to plants that are known to have been unique to a certain area and thus link a relic to that area.

Evaluate

This is an odd question task because we're here to Weaken a Plan/Method rather than an argument.

But whereas weakening an argument feels like, ,

weakening a plan feels like,

Goal

Let's look for an answer that gives us a way to argue that,

8.

Which one of the following, if true, casts the most doubt on the reliability of the method described above?

  1. Correct

    Pollens are often transported from

    Why this is right

    The method assumes that "if pollen X comes from plant A, and plant A only grows in area Z, then a relic with pollen X on it must have moved through area Z in the past." But this answer says, "whoa, there --- you're assuming that in order to get pollen X on a relic, the relic would need to be near plant A. That's not necessarily true. Pollen from plant A could get on an object far from plant A, because pollen can travel by wind or other means to other areas." For example, maybe the Moroccan rose only grows in Morocco. We have a relic with pollen from a Moroccan rose on it. Does that mean the relic was at some point in Morocco? No, it's possible that the relic was made in Greece, and pollen just blew over from Morocco and landed on the relic in Greece. Or maybe Lenny traveled from Morocco to Greece and had some pollen in his pockets. When he got to Greece and bought this relic, he put it in his pocket, where the relic then got Moroccan rose pollen on it.

    Skill tested: Weaken · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    71% picked this

  2. There are several less complicated

    Not an Objection

    This feels tempting because it sounds like it's saying that there are superior alternative methods. Two problems, though: 1. The author is only selling this method as "one good clue", not the only way or the best way. So the existence of other viable methods doesn't undermine this method. For example, I might say, "One good way to flatter a girl is to write a song that has really insightful lyrics about her personality." If you were to say, "there are less complicated ways to flatter a girl: tell her you think her bracelet is cool, for example", would that weaken my method? Not really. I didn't say writing a personalized song was the only way or the best way, just a good way. 2. This answer doesn't really solidify that these other methods are superior. It says they are less complicated (which sounds like a good thing), but are they comparably reliable or accurate? If a Dad was like, "Hey, one good way to decide where our family takes its summer vacay is to go on AirBnb to check prices, cross reference that with local COVID counts, and finally read about types of experiences people have there on Lonely Planet", can his kid object by saying, "hey, Dad, a less complicated way of deciding is to just spin a globe at plop your finger down somewhere random"? No, that's not a great response. Yes, it's an easier way to pick a vacation, but it might overall be a much worse way.

    1% picked this

  3. Many types of pollen were

    Too Weak: many

    The author's method doesn't assume that "all, or nearly all, types of pollen are unique to one geographical region". It just assumes that "many / most types of pollen are unique to one geographical region". The author is assuming that this method will often be feasible because we will often be able to find a type of pollen on the relic that is unique to a certain area. Since she wan't assuming that "nearly all pollen is unique to a certain area", we can't hurt her by saying, "many types of pollen are not unique to any one area".

    19% picked this

  4. Data are scarce as to

    Out of Scope

    Out of Scope: pollen with unknown origin Similar to (C), this answer weakens in the sense of showing that not all forms of pollen would be useful for this analysis. (C) Many of them are known to come from multiple regions. (D) Many of them have unknown regions of origin. But the method is only talking about being used when we can identify pollen that is known to have been unique to that area. Let's say we have a relic and it has Pollens A, B, C, and D on it. Even if pollens B and D come from plants that are in multiple regions of the world and pollen A comes from an unknown region of the ancient world, it might be that pollen C is known to be unique to the Hawaiian islands. So according to this method, we know this relic passed through the Hawaiian islands. This method is only used when we find a pollen from a plant that is known to be unique to an area. It's not a method we can necessarily use on every single pollen, but the author never promised us it would be.

    8% picked this

  5. Pollen analysis is a painstaking

    Unrelated to Goal

    We're only worried about the reliability of the method. This answer is telling us about the economic feasibility of the method, but we can't argue, "This isn't a reliable method. After all, it's painstaking and expensive." We have to argue, "This isn't a reliable method. After all, it will sometimes give us false positives or negatives."

    0% picked this

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