Logical Reasoning

PT120 · S3 · Q16 In the last election, 89

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In the last election, 89 percent of reporters voted for the incumbent.

Conclusion (reveals that)

Reporters allowed the personal biases reflected in this voting pattern (89% of reporters voted for the incumbent) to affect their news coverage.

Evidence

54% of coverage of the challenger was negative, whereas only 30% of the incumbent was negative.

Evaluate

Since this author is interpreting the causal meaning behind a statistical change / disparity, we can use our Explain Curious Fact mindset.

Curious Fact ... How come 54% of the coverage of the challenger was negative whereas only 30% of the incumbent was negative?

Author's Explanation ... it must be that the reporters favored the incumbent (after all, 89% of them voted for the incumbent) and so their bias caused them to skew more negative coverage towards the challenger.

Whenever we use this framework, we consider the same two questions: 1. can we think of Alternate Explanations for the Curious Fact? 2. how plausible is the Author's Explanation?

On Flaw questions, though, 90% of the correct answers are about #1, the failure to consider alternate explanations.

So what else could be an explanation for why 54% of the coverage of the challenger was negative whereas only 30% of the incumbent was negative.

Maybe the challenger was embroiled in a big scandal during the campaign, and so coverage of that scandal felt inherently negative. Meanwhile the incumbent wasn't in a scandal, so their 30% negative coverage was the "normal" amount.

Maybe in general challengers get more negative coverage than incumbents. Maybe when you're first running for office, they dig up everything bad about you and so you have a lot of negative coverage. But if you are elected and then you run again as an incumbent, they're not going to bother re-running all the negative stories they ran on you when you first got elected.

Goal

Look for an answer pointing out that the author is overconfidently arriving at one possible way to explain the 54% / 30% disparity, when other possible explanations exist.

16.

The argument is logically most vulnerable to criticism on the grounds that it

  1. presumes, without providing justification, that

    Not Assumed / Too Strong = equal

    Since this answer begins with a presumes / takes for granted, we can ask ourselves whether the author was definitely assuming the idea that follows. Did this author's argument need to assume that both candidates received precisely the same amount of coverage? Of course not. That language would almost always be too strong to be correct when talking about a Necessary Assumption, as we are in this answer choice. The argument doesn't care if the challenger received 30 hrs of coverage and the incumbent received 31 hrs of coverage, or if the challenger received 50 hrs and the incumbent received 25 hrs. The curious fact is about the proportion of negative coverage, not about the raw number of minutes of coverage.

    10% picked this

  2. Correct

    ignores the possibility that there

    Why this is right

    Since this answer begins with a fails to consider / ignores the possibility, we can ask ourselves if the idea that follows would be some weakening idea or potential objection. Would it hurt the argument to say, "There was more negative news worthy of reporting concerning the challenger than concerning the incumbent"? For sure! That's the Alternate Explanation we were anticipating. Maybe it skewed 54% negative not because reporters were biased against the challenger but simply because the challenger was embroiled in some scandal, so there was a lot of negative news to report.

    Skill tested: Flaw · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    75% picked this

  3. presumes, without providing justification, that

    Not Assumed / Too Strong = always

    Since this answer begins with a presumes / takes for granted, we can ask ourselves whether the idea that follows is a Necessary Assumption. Did this author's argument need to assume that when bias influences reporting, it is detrimental to news coverage 100% of the time? Of course not. That language would almost always be too strong to be correct when talking about a Necessary Assumption, as we are in this answer choice. The argument doesn't care if bias is detrimental to news coverage 100% of the time vs. 99% of the time (or even 0% of the time). The argument is talking about whether the coverage was good / bad or whether it was degraded / elevated by bias. The argument is only assessing whether or not there was bias.

    3% picked this

  4. ignores the possibility that the

    Bad Objection

    Since this answer begins with a fails to consider / ignores the possibility, we can ask ourselves if the idea that follows would be some weakening idea or potential objection. Would it hurt the argument to say, "The electorate's voting behavior isn't significantly affected by the content of the coverage"? No, that would only weaken if the author had been arguing that the biased coverage ended up swaying the voting in the election. But this author isn't ever talking about whether or not biased reporting had any effect on voters. The author is only trying to prove that the reporting was biased; she never talks about possible repercussions of the reporting being biased.

    11% picked this

  5. ignores the possibility that reporters

    Weaker Objection

    Since this answer begins with a fails to consider / ignores the possibility, we can ask ourselves if the idea that follows would be some weakening idea or potential objection. Would it hurt the argument to say, "Reporters generally fear more the prospect of losing access to incumbents than to challengers"? It's a little tempting. We could try to turn this into an Alternate Explanation. Maybe the coverage skewed 54% / 30% not because reporters were biased in favor of the incumbent winning but because they didn't want to lose access to the incumbent by publishing a negative story about her. Is it common sense that if a reporter is more fearful of losing access to someone, then they won't have as much negative coverage of that reporter? Somewhat. But the alternate explanation in (B) is much more solidly in the realm of common sense: "if there's less negative news worth reporting about someone, will there be less negative coverage about that person"? Sure, that's way more straightforward.

    1% picked this

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