Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Hard

PT120 S1 Q19 Explanation

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A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

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Stimulus

There have been no new cases of naturally occurring polio in North America in recent years. Yet there are approximately 12 new cases of polio each year in North America, all caused by the commonly administered live oral polio vaccine (OPV). Substituting inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) for most childhood polio immunizations would to IPV as the most commonly used polio vaccine for North American children.

What this question is testing

Weaken

Your task

Find the choice that makes the argument's conclusion less likely to be true.

Common trap

Answers that look negative but attack a claim the argument never relied on.

Winning move

Find the assumption the argument depends on, then pick the choice that undermines it.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
19.

Which one of the following, if true, most weakens

Answer choices

  1. Correct60% picked this

    If IPV replaces OPV as the most commonly used polio vaccine, at least a few new cases of naturally occurring polio in

    Why this is right

    Here's a negative difference. IPV would lead to some new cases of naturally occurring polio. This is very weakly worded (at a least a few new cases), but it doesn't take much to negate the supposed advantage of IPV. IPV was supposed to take us from ~12 cases to ~6 cases of polio caused by vaccine. So we prevented 6 cases of polio. But if IPV also causes at least 3 new cases of polio, we're definitely weakening the argument. It's mathematically possible that we still come out 1 or 2 cases ahead by using IPV, but that's already weakened the force of the Evidence (we are preventing 1-3 cases of polio by switching, not 6). It's also possible that naturally occurring polio cases are worse than vaccine-caused polio cases, so maybe we shouldn't even treat the numbers so equivalently. It's possible that IPV causes more than 10 or 20 new cases (at least a few new cases). So this answer creates a possible way in which the Conclusion could be wrong, and it definitely dilutes the force of the Evidence.

    Skill tested: Weaken · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  2. No Impact28% picked this

    The vast majority of cases of polio caused by OPV have occurred in children with preexisting

    The backstory of these cases of OPV-caused polio isn't really relevant, unless we somehow know how that would be better/worse/same in a world in which we used IPV instead. If we were reading this as, "We don't need to get rid of OPV. The 12 cases are from specific, preventable things", we'd really be adding the preventable part of that. If it were already possible to identify and preempt these specific kids from getting vaccine-caused polio, wouldn't we already be doing it?

  3. No Impact3% picked this

    A child’s risk of contracting polio from OPV has been estimated at 1 in 8.7 million, which is significantly less than the

    This is just turning 12 new cases into a percentage / ratio. We already knew that this was a very tiny number of cases, relative to "all the children being immunized in North America each year".

  4. Unclear Impact2% picked this

    Although IPV is preferred in some European nations, most countries with comprehensive child immunization programs

    This probably feels like the 2nd best answer. Since we were looking for a way to argue that we should still use OPV, the fact that most countries with good immunization programs use OPV sounds like it supports our argument. But LSAT isn't took keen on supporting a plan just because other people are doing it. The fact most people believe something or do something doesn't make it "true / correct". This answer doesn't engage with the evidence the way (A) does, so it should seem less appealing as a type of LSAT objection.

  5. Unclear Impact7% picked this

    IPV, like most vaccines, carries a slight risk of inducing seizures in children with neurological

    This potentially gives us a negative difference about IPV, but is it a difference? It says that IPV, like most vaccines, carries a slight risk. So this might be something that applies equally to OPV.

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