Logical Reasoning

PT118 · S1 · Q2 Commentator: Many people argue that

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Commentator: Many people argue that the release of chlorofluorocarbons into the atmosphere is harming humans by damaging the ozone layer, thus allowing increased amounts of ultraviolet radiation to reach Earth.

Conclusion

The chlorofluorocarbons in the ozone layer of the atmosphere don't harm humans by letting increased ultraviolet radiation reach Earth.

Evidence

300,000 years ago there was a supernova that damaged the ozone layer, and it had no significant effect on our earliest ancestors. And the supernova had more of an effect than the chlorofluorocarbons are estimated to have.

Evaluate

I'm sorry, author, how do you know it had no significant effect on our earliest ancestors. Did the cavemen keep meticulous longitudinal statistics on cancer rates?

Since this is an argument based on Comparison (because ozone damage was harmless in Situation X, it will be harmless in Situation Y), we weaken this argument by pointing out meaningful differences.

Maybe the damage to the ozone layer before was in an area where humans didn't live, so they weren't affected by the influx of ultraviolet, but the damage today is in areas of the atmosphere where humans do live.

Maybe humans didn't live long enough 300,000 years ago to suffer the long term effects of ultraviolet radiation.

Maybe there are other chemicals in our atmosphere nowadays that interact with chlorofluorocarbons to create a more damaging effect.

Goal

We can predict the specific storyline, but we go to the answers thinking,

2.

Which one of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the commentator's argument?

  1. Extraterrestrial influences on the ozone

    Out of Scope: frequency of occurrence

    We don't care how frequently supernovae damage the ozone layer. The author isn't claiming they occur a lot. She's just claiming that if THAT didn't do ultraviolet related harm, then how could today's chlorofluorocarbon problem do harm.

    2% picked this

  2. Natural events, such as the

    Not a Difference

    The "continue to" damage the ozone layer today indicates that this is not necessarily anything different between the two situations. If we had said, "300,000 years ago, there was very little volcanism, whereas nowadays volcanism has depleted the ozone layer to a very vulnerable state", then THAT would be pointing out a meaningful difference that would allow us to say that the less-impactful effect of chlorofluorocarbon (compared to the supernova) could still lead to harm.

    2% picked this

  3. Correct

    Our earliest ancestors possessed genetic

    Why this is right

    This provides a meaningful difference. Yes, the supernova did more ozone damage than chlorofluorocarbons are doing. And yes the old humans were just fine. But ... they had special genetic resistance to ultraviolet radiation that we don't have. Since we are nowadays more vulnerable to the harmful effects of ultraviolet radiation, it's possible that this less severe damage from chlorofluorocarbons could still end up harming modern humans.

    Skill tested: Weaken · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    84% picked this

  4. The ozone layer regenerates at

    Not a Difference / Mildly Strengthens

    This would be true in both situations, and this doesn't give us a way to argue that modern chlorofluorocarbon damage, which is less severe than ancient supernova damage, is more likely to harm humans. It's possible someone was thinking, "Maybe the supernova's damage and the chlorofluorocarbon's damage is cumulative. i.e., the punches landed in Round 1 were harder than the punches landed in Round 10, but because the boxer was so weakened by Round 10, a weaker punch could still knock them out." If so, this answer would actually work against that type of objection, by saying that the ozone layer regenerates its strength, so whatever damage the supernova did 300,000 years ago would probably have been erased by now, as the ozone layer slowly regenerated.

    3% picked this

  5. Scientists have discovered that genetic

    Unclear Impact

    This is similar to our correct answer, except this answer gives us no specific sense in which humans genetically changed. Did they change in a way that made them more / less resistant to ultraviolet radiation? Did they change genetically in some way that suggests that the ultraviolet radiation following the supernova harmed them? We don't know and this doesn't say, so it has no clear impact.

    9% picked this

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