Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Medium

PT113 S4 Q25 Explanation

In ancient Mesopotamia, prior to 2900 B.C.

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Stimulus

In ancient Mesopotamia, prior to 2900 B.C., wheat was cultivated in considerable quantities, but after 2900 B.C. production of that grain began to decline as the production of barley increased sharply. Some historians who study ancient Mesopotamia contend that the decline in wheat production was the consequent accumulation of salt residues in the soil.

What this question is testing

Strengthen

Your task

Find the choice that makes the argument's conclusion more likely to be true.

Common trap

Answers that are consistent with the argument but add no real support, or that strengthen a claim the argument doesn't make.

Winning move

Locate the gap between evidence and conclusion, then pick the choice that closes it.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
25.

Which one of the following, if true, most helps to support the historians’ contention concerning the reasons for the decline in wheat

Answer choices

  1. No Impact10% picked this

    The cultivation of barley requires considerably less water than does the

    If the author had thought that lack of water contributed to the decline of wheat, then this would strengthen the plausibility of why wheat would decline while barley would rise. But the author thought excessive irrigation (an abundance of water) is what led to wheat's decline.

  2. Correct75% picked this

    Barley has much greater resistance to the presence of salt in soil

    Why this is right

    The most common type of plausibility-strengthener is an answer that sort of gives you a "No Cause, No Effect" data point. The author thought that excessive salt in the soil killed off wheat. If she were right, then shouldn't excessive salt in the local soil have also killed off barley? According to this answer, no. Barley can tolerate a lot of salt. So if the author thinks "sensitivity to salt in the soil caused the decline of wheat", then it adds some plausibility to have a data point that looks like "this other contemporaneous thing, barely, that didn't have sensitivity to salt, didn't decline (it increased sharply)."

    Skill tested: Strengthen · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  3. No Impact2% picked this

    Prior to 2900 B.C., barley was cultivated along with wheat, but the amount of barley produced was far less than

    This seems to just be telling us that barley has been around for a while, though not as popular as it became after 2900 B.C. But it doesn't give us any clues as to why that switch occurred (decline wheat, uptick in barley), and the why is what we're investigating.

  4. Weakens8% picked this

    Around 2900 B.C., a series of wheat blights occurred, destroying much of the wheat crop

    This offers an Alternate Explanation for the decline of wheat, so it would weaken the need for the Author's Explanation.

  5. Weakens, if anything5% picked this

    Literary and archaeological evidence indicates that in the period following 2900 B.C., barley became the principal grain in the diet of most

    This is either like (C), in that it's just telling us what we already know ... "Prior to 2900, wheat was the star. After 2900, barely got big." Or it's like (D), in that it's giving us an alternate explanation for why wheat declined and barley surged: it wasn't that salty soil killed off wheat; people just wanted lots of barley in their diet.

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