Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Hard

PT107 S4 Q20 Explanation

Amphibian populations are declining

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsStrengthen

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Stimulus

Amphibian populations are declining in numbers worldwide. Not coincidentally, the earth’s ozone layer has been continuously depleted throughout the last 50 years. Atmospheric ozone blocks UV-B, a type of ultraviolet radiation that is continuously produced by the sun, and which can damage genes. Because amphibians lack hair, hide, or feathers to shield primary cause of the declining amphibian population is the depletion of the ozone layer.

What this question is testing

Strengthen

Your task

Find the choice that makes the argument's conclusion more likely to be true.

Common trap

Answers that are consistent with the argument but add no real support, or that strengthen a claim the argument doesn't make.

Winning move

Locate the gap between evidence and conclusion, then pick the choice that closes it.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
20.

Each of the following, if true, would strengthen the

Answer choices

  1. Correct52% picked this

    Of the various types of radiation blocked by atmospheric ozone, UV-B is the only type

    Why this is right

    Do we care if UV-B is the only type that damages genes? Would it weaken the argument if other types of radiation blocked by atmospheric ozone also damaged genes? Would that hurt the author's conclusion that the depleting ozone layer is the primary cause of what's killing amphibians? No, that would only strengthen it. Depletion of the ozone layer is scarier if the ozone usually blocks multiple types of gene-damaging radiation that if it only blocks one type of gene-damaging radiation. The more types of gene-damaging radiation that get through, the worse a depleted ozone layer is for amphibians, which just helps the author's conclusion. So, if anything, this answer weakens (not that it needs to in order to be correct).

    Skill tested: Strengthen · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  2. Boosts Plausibility3% picked this

    Amphibian populations are declining far more rapidly than are the populations of nonamphibian species whose tissues and eggs have

    This adds plausibility to the author's story by providing more data that declining population is tied to vulnerability to UV-B. The animals whose eggs are more vulnerable to UV-B are declining more, and since depletion of the ozone layer allows more UV-B to come through, it looks like depletion of the ozone layer could be hurting those animals.

  3. Boosts Plausibility2% picked this

    Atmospheric ozone has been significantly depleted above all the areas of the world in which

    This helps the plausibility of the hypothesis that "ozone depletion" is causing "amphibian population decline" by putting the Suspect at the Scene of the Crime. In order for ozone depletion to be the causal agent that's affecting amphibians, we need to put them in the same room together. If amphibians lived in areas of Earth where the ozone layer weren't depleted, then the author's hypothesis would be pretty far-fetched. A necessary assumption the author's hypothesis makes is that "at least some amphibians are getting more UV-B because of ozone depletion than they otherwise would", which assumes that amphibians live somewhere that there is ozone depletion. This answer gives us a strong version of that necessary assumption, saying, "Yes, everywhere that amphibians are declining, ozone depletion is present." (Cause and Effect appear together)

  4. Rules Out Alternate Explanation35% picked this

    The natural habitat of amphibians has not become smaller over the

    This strengthen by ruling out an alternate possibility for the primary cause of declining amphibian populations -- it's not because their habitat is disappearing.

  5. Boosts Plausibility7% picked this

    Amphibian populations have declined continuously for the last

    This strengthens the correlation between the putative cause and effect. We know that ozone has been depleting continuously for the last 50 years. If at the same time amphibian populations have been declining continuously, it establishes a strong correlation between what the author thinks is the Cause (ozone depletion) and what the author thinks is the Effect (declining amphibians). Anyone claiming that "X is causing Y" is corroborated by a correlation showing that "As X has increased, so too has Y increased".

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