Logical ReasoningDifficulty: Hard

PT107 S1 Q17 Explanation

Columnist: It is impossible for

A free, expert breakdown of this official LSAT Logical Reasoning question.

TopicsFlaw

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Stimulus

Columnist: It is impossible for there to be real evidence that lax radiation standards that were once in effect at nuclear reactors actually contributed to the increase in cancer rates near such sites. The point is a familiar one: who can say if a particular to environmental toxins, smoking, poor diet, or genetic factors.

What this question is testing

Flaw

Conclusion

The columnist says: there can't be real evidence that lax radiation rules contributed to the cancer rate increase near reactors.

Evidence

Why? Because for any single cancer patient, there's no way to say whether their cancer came from radiation or smoking or genes or diet, etc.

Evaluate

The argument conflates two very different questions:

1. "What caused this person's cancer?" (Hard or impossible to answer.)

2. (Answerable with statistics — compare rates near vs. far, before vs. after.)

Public health works on question 2. We don't need to know what caused each smoker's lung cancer to know smoking causes lung cancer at the population level. Same logic applies to radiation. The columnist conflates the impossibility of #1 with the impossibility of #2 — but they're different.

Goal

Find: statistical/population-level evidence can show contribution even when individual cases can't be traced.

Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.

The question
17.

The argument’s reasoning is most vulnerable to criticism on which one of

Answer choices

  1. Correct59% picked this

    The argument fails to recognize that there may be convincing statistical evidence even if individual

    Why this is right

    This identifies the flaw exactly. The columnist treats inability to pin down individual cancer causes as if it ruled out all evidence. But statistical evidence — comparing cancer rates near vs. far from reactors, or before vs. after lax-standard periods — could show that lax radiation contributed to the increase even though individual causes remain unknown. This is how public health establishes causal contribution all the time. The argument fails to recognize this.

    Skill tested: Flaw · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

  2. Causal Flaw1% picked this

    The argument inappropriately presupposes that what follows a certain phenomenon was caused

    This describes a "post hoc" flaw — assuming that because B followed A, A caused B. The columnist isn't making any causal claim at all; the columnist is denying that causal evidence can exist. Post-hoc reasoning is the opposite kind of mistake from what's happening here.

  3. Bad Description7% picked this

    The argument inappropriately draws a conclusion about causes of cancer in general from evidence drawn from a

    The columnist isn't generalizing from a particular case. The argument is the reverse — using a general claim about individual causes being unknowable to deny that any evidence about general causes can exist. There's no specific case being generalized from.

  4. Bad Description2% picked this

    The argument ignores other possible causes of the increase in cancer rates near the

    The columnist actually cites other possible causes (environmental toxins, smoking, diet, genetics) — that's the columnist's evidence. Far from ignoring them, the argument relies on them. This answer mischaracterizes the argument's structure.

  5. Bad Description31% picked this

    The argument concludes that a claim about a causal connection is false on the basis of a lack

    The columnist isn't concluding the causal claim is false — only that no evidence for it can exist. There's a meaningful difference between "we can't prove it" and "it's false." This answer pins the wrong charge on the argument; the columnist is making an epistemic claim, not a metaphysical one.

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