Columnist: It is impossible for there to be real evidence that lax radiation standards that were once in effect at nuclear reactors actually contributed to the increase in cancer rates near such sites. The point is a familiar one: who can say if a particular to environmental toxins, smoking, poor diet, or genetic factors.
What this question is testing
Conclusion
The columnist says: there can't be real evidence that lax radiation rules contributed to the cancer rate increase near reactors.
Evidence
Why? Because for any single cancer patient, there's no way to say whether their cancer came from radiation or smoking or genes or diet, etc.
Evaluate
The argument conflates two very different questions:
1. "What caused this person's cancer?" (Hard or impossible to answer.)
2. (Answerable with statistics — compare rates near vs. far, before vs. after.)
Public health works on question 2. We don't need to know what caused each smoker's lung cancer to know smoking causes lung cancer at the population level. Same logic applies to radiation. The columnist conflates the impossibility of #1 with the impossibility of #2 — but they're different.
Goal
Find: statistical/population-level evidence can show contribution even when individual cases can't be traced.
Reading along? Open the full official question in LawHub — we show a fragment here and keep the reasoning in our own words.