Logical Reasoning

PT106 · S2 · Q5 A newly developed light bulb is

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A newly developed light bulb is much more cost-effective than conventional light bulbs: it costs only about 3 times what a conventional light bulb costs but it lasts up to 10 times as long as a conventional light bulb.

Conclusion

New bulbs will sell very poorly.

Counter-evidence

New bulbs are more cost-effective than old bulbs. (costs 3 times more, but lasts 10 times as long)

Evaluate

We weren't given any reasons to think that new bulbs will sell poorly (other than their higher upfront cost), so we might see one answer saying, .

But the other answers that strengthen will just give us reasons to think that these new bulbs will sell poorly.

Goal

Eliminate four answers that make it seem like new bulbs will sell poorly. Pick the remaining answer (whether it weakens or is just irrelevant).

5.

Each of the following, if true, provides support for the analyst's prediction EXCEPT:

  1. The light generated by the

    Strengthens

    The new bulbs won't sell well because ... people don't like the unappealing yellow tint of light the bulbs give off

    2% picked this

  2. Most people who purchase light

    Strengthens

    The new bulbs won't sell well because ... people just want to buy the cheapest bulb, regardless of shorter life span

    5% picked this

  3. A manufacturer of one brand

    Strengthens

    The new bulbs won't sell well because ... there's a lying advertisement out there making people think that new bulbs use more electricity

    2% picked this

  4. Correct

    The new bulb is to

    Why this is right

    This actually sounds like a good thing -- you can choose to buy them as singles or multi-packs.

    Skill tested: Strengthen · how this choice captures the argument's function is the move to repeat next time.

    84% picked this

  5. A competing manufacturer is about

    Strengthens

    The new bulbs won't sell well because ... there's another bulb coming out that will kick this one's butt (costs way less and lasts 10 times as long)

    8% picked this

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